Stocks, dollar flash red ahead of Trump speech

Stocks, dollar flash red ahead of Trump speech
AFP

London (AFP) – The screens of stock traders were awash in red on Tuesday ahead of a key speech by US President Donald Trump and a deluge of company and economic announcements.

The dollar fell against other major currencies despite rising yields on US bonds, which would normally pull in investors seeking higher returns and support the greenback.

“The dollar’s depressed price action suggests that uncertainty continues to mount ahead of President Donald Trump’s State of Union address on Tuesday evening,” said Lukman Otunuga, a research analyst at FXTM online currency trading firm.

“While the speech itself may not be a market shaker, there could be fireworks and dollar volatility if Donald Trump goes off-script,” he added.

Wall Steet opened sharply lower on Tuesday, a day after posting its largest drop in more than four months, with the Dow slumping 0.9 percent in the first minute of trading. 

The reversal for equities comes just as Trump, who has repeatedly taken credit for the record run on the stock market, will make his most important speech of the year about the state of the nation.

In addition to Trump’s speech, investors may also be showing caution ahead of a spate of corporate earnings reports this week, including those from Apple, Facebook and other tech giants. The tech-heavy Nasdaq opened 1.0 percent lower on Tuesday.

This week’s calendar also includes the US jobs report for January and a two-day Federal Reserve meeting that will update the market on the outlook for more interest rate increases.

European indices were also down across the board.

The Paris CAC 40 came close to crossing over into positive territory however as official data showed the French economy notching up its fastest growth in six years, expanding by 1.9 percent in 2017. The 2.5 percent growth for the eurozone was the best in a decade.

But by mid-afternoon the CAC was down 0.7 percent. Frankfurt was 0.9 percent lower and London shed 0.8 percent.

“European markets were on the back foot after taking their cue from a bruising session in Asia and a bad day in New York on Monday that saw the Dow give up 177 points after hitting a record high in the previous session,” said Neil Wilson, senior market analyst at ETX Capital.

– Bonds throw equities a curve –

Stock prices were also suffering from the higher US bond yields. 

While equities have been striking records, the question some investors may soon pose is how far the rally can go and whether bonds may once again offer better returns.

Yields on bonds are rising as central banks move to reduce massive injections of cash stimulus that has helped to prop up the global economy since the financial crisis of a decade ago.

“Certainly the dynamics have shifted in bond markets,” noted Wilson. 

“Central banks are either out of the market or buying fewer bonds. The Fed is now in the business of selling not buying.”

Asian markets also fell on Tuesday, with Tokyo, Hong Kong, Seoul, Taipei, Jakarta and Manila all tumbling more than one percent.

The drop of more than two percent in Apple’s share price on Monday after the Nikkei daily reported it was slashing production of its latest iPhone model, adding to worries about the company’s earnings, reverberated across Asia on Tuesday.

The tech giant will halve production of the iPhone X in the three-month period from January from the level envisaged at the time of its release in November, the business paper said.

Apple suppliers were among those hit hard, with Sony and electronics components maker Murata both losing 1.9 percent.

In Taipei, Hon Hai Precision fell 1.2 percent and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing sank 2.1 percent.

 – Key figures around 1430 GMT – 

New York – DOW: DOWN 0.9 percent at 26,192.94

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.8 percent at 7,608.88 points

Frankfurt – DAX 30: DOWN 0.9 percent at 13,206.37

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.7 percent at 5,481.32

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 0.9 percent at 3,610.43

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.4 percent 23,291.97 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng: DOWN 1.0 percent at 32,607.29 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 1.0 percent at 3,488.01 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.2448 from $1.2383 at 2200 GMT Monday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.4147 from $1.4073 

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 108.48 yen from 108.98 yen

Oil – Brent North Sea: DOWN 31 cents at $69.15 per barrel

Oil – West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 85 cents at $64.71

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