Republican Josh Hawley leads incumbent Democrat Sen. Claire McCaskill by eight points in a new poll released Thursday by pro-Hawley SuperPAC Missouri Rising Action. This is a ten point jump for Hawley from the PAC’s June poll.
Hawley pulled 52 percent support to McCaskill’s 44 percent in the new poll of 600 voters, conducted by Jim McLaughlin of McLaughlin & Associates from September 29-October 2. The result demonstrates a ten point jump for Hawley since Missouri Rising Action’s previous poll of the race in June. The previous poll had McCaskill up over Hawley 46-42.
McCaskill ranked with just 42 percent favorability to 51 percent unfavorability in the new poll. Hawley was ranked 41 percent favorable to just 33 percent unfavorable.
Independents surveyed supported Hawley 51 to 39. This is up from the previous poll,which showed independents supporting Hawley by a much more narrow 39 to 38 percent.
A Missouri Rising Action release of the poll identified respondents as 36 percent Republican, 34 percent Democrat, and 30 percent Independent or other. The PAC’s Executive Director Brian Rogers said of the poll:
These fresh numbers indicate that Josh Hawley is gaining momentum at exactly the right time as Missouri voters tune into this important race. The Democrats’ hysterical attacks on Judge Kavanaugh have hurt Democrats like Claire McCaskill whose states voted decisively for President Trump in 2016. This will be a tight race, but Missourians are now more ready than ever to replace Claire McCaskill with a senator who will represent their values and interests in Washington – Josh Hawley.
The PAC paired the release of the new poll with an announcement that it is launching a one million dollar “grassroots” get-out-the-vote initiative in cooperation with partner data analytics firm WPAi next week in support of Hawley. The group will focus on turning out key voter segments. The campaign will target voters identified by WPAi with customized messages communicated through “digital advertising, direct mail, and turnout texting, and phone calls.”