Poll: John James Maintains Narrow Lead in Michigan Senate Race

Republican U.S. Senate candidate John James speaks during a rally in Pontiac, Mich., Wednesday, Oct. 17, 2018. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
AP/Paul Sancya

Republican challenger John James maintains his narrow lead over incumbent Sen. Gary Peters (D-MI) in a key race for the U.S. Senate, according to poll results released Saturday.

A survey by the Trafalgar Group, taken October 11-15, found James with a 1.4 percent lead among 1,018 likely voters, 48 percent to 46.6 percent.

Just 2.5 percent were undecided.

That is almost identical to another Trafalgar poll from August, where James led 48.1 percent to 46.6 percent.

A recent Times/Siena survey reported James has closed a 10-point gap since June and was down by only one, 43 percent to 42 percent.

Another Trafalgar poll, released Friday showed President Trump with a narrow lead over Joe Biden.

The survey, conducted October 11-14, found Trump leading 46.5 percent to 45.9 percent among respondents. Just 2.2 percent of the 1,025 likely voters said they were undecided.

A bit of data that may bode well for both candidates is Republicans have taken the lead in the state for mail-in and early in-person ballots returned.

Out of the 1,416,342 ballots returned so far, 41 percent of them have been by Republicans, while 39 percent have been by Democrats, the party that puts extra emphasis on early and absentee voting.

Historically, Republicans do better with in-person voting.

Kyle Olson is a reporter for Breitbart News. He is also host of “The Kyle Olson Show,” syndicated on Michigan radio stations on Saturdays. Listen to segments on YouTube or download full podcast episodes. Follow him on Twitter, like him on Facebook, and follow him on Parler.

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