John Pudner

John Pudner

John Pudner wrote his first statistical analysis for the New York Post more than 20 years ago, ranking pitchers on opposite Sundays from when Bill James ranked batters, and he was named as the top sports news writer in his newspaper class in Virginia by the Virginia Press Association. 

Since then he has run more than 200 political campaigns for candidates or ballot issues while continuing to write statistical analysis for sports and developing a database of thousands of basketball players at www.valueaddbasketball.com and writing for www.crackedsidewalks.com. He met with and advised several NBA teams to advice on the future performance of potential draft picks this year. His work for the Alabama Farmers Federation in 2010 included helping to coordinating door-to-door efforts that reached the homes of 170,000 voters, and his more recent statistical work was featured by CNN/Sports Illustrated.


Latest News

Mock Tournament Round 1: ACC 95, American East 56 and Sun Belt 84, Ivy 72

In Raleigh, the 4-seed ACC registered by far the most lopsided victory of the opening round with a 95-56 win over the American East. The ACC will advance to Anaheim to play the 20-seed Sun Belt, which stunned the Ivy League behind Texas Arlington small forward Brandon Edwards, who scored more than any other player in the Round 1 games. Each ACC All-Conference player bested their counterpart, with the only close battle occurring in the small forward showdown between Stony Brook’s Jameel Warney and Jerian Grant, who accumulated enough value prior to leaving Notre Dame’s program to be one of the top five in the conference. Jan 3, 2014 1:26 PM PT

Mock Tournament Round 1: A10 74, ASun 57 and WCC 93, NEC 71

In Spokane, Nine of 10 Atlantic 10 players bested their counterparts from the Atlantic Sun, with UMass Center Cady Lalane outscoring Mercer’s Daniel Coursey 10-4 in an easy 74-57 win. The 8-seed A10 team advances to Indianapolis to play the 9-seed WCC which dominated the NEC 93-71. The combination of St. Mary’s and Gonzaga stars overcame a strong showing by a duo of stars from Robert Morris, which stunned Kentucky last season. Gonzaga shooting guard Kevin Pangos was the high scorer from all 16 first round games. Jan 3, 2014 1:20 PM PT

Mock Tournament Round 1: Big Ten 81, SWAC 64 and CUSA 62, CAA 60

In Milwaukee, Wisconsin center Frank Kaminsky of Wisconsin was too much for Texas Southern’s Aaric Murray as the 1-seed Big Ten All-Conference team beat the 32-seed SWAC team 81-64. The Big Ten will advance to Indianapolis to play the 17-seed Conference USA, which pulled off a minor upset of 16-seed CAA 62-60 behind 10-points from shooting guard Tymell Murphy. Jan 3, 2014 1:07 PM PT

Value Add: Calculating Each Player's Impact on Point Spread

The two most common questions I receive when updating ratings for college basketball players regard: 1) Sports Information Directors who want to explain the value of their star player and 2) people who want to understand how much the absence of a key players should impact the point spread of an upcoming game. While ESPN and CNN/SI have done a great job of explaining Value Add Basketball, the basic explanation is that a player’s Value Add Rating equals how much the point spread would change if he misses a game. Jan 2, 2014 7:08 AM PT

Fox Sports 1 Big East College Hoops Marathon: Top 25 Players

Big East fans have the chance to see every Big East player Tuesday during a Fox Sports Noon to Midnight Marathon day. The nightcap features pre-season favorite Marquette visiting National Player of the Year candidate and top Value Add offensive player Doug McDermott at 10 p.m. As the top 25 player rankings below show, the defense of Georgetown and D'Vauntes Smith-Rivera give him a slight overall edge in the Value Add rankings. Dec 31, 2013 8:44 AM PT

Noon-Midnight: Big East Marathon on Fox Sports 1

Otto Porter (pictured) is gone to the NBA, and national contenders Louisville and Syracuse have left the conference. However, the Big East has shocked many by ranking as the third best conference in the country overall at www.kenpom.com, making the gamble by Fox Sports 1 look good during Tuesday's noon to midnight coverage of every team. However, what has been missing is big wins, as the Big East has played many close games among top 50 opponents away from home, but is only 6-19 with only one more such game out of conference. Dec 31, 2013 8:43 AM PT

Value Add Documents How Defenses Are Struggling with Rules Changes

Just as lower pitching mounds, smaller ballparks and eventually a blind eye to steroids changed the whole scoring context for baseball history, a new way of calling college basketball is letting players put up much bigger numbers this year. Deion Wright topped the ratings released Christmas day and his numbers are far superior to Trey Burke at first glance, but his Value Add rating is actually lower because he has been facing defenses that give up 108 points per 100 trips vs. the 96.4 allowed by Michigan’s opponents last year. Dec 28, 2013 10:13 AM PT

Wade, James Only Players Having 10th Straight Top 20 Seasons

You can hate Dwyane Wade, and you can certainly hate the jerseys NBA teams wore Christmas Day (pictured). But statistically Wade and LeBron James came out of a Christmas-day win in Los Angeles as the only two players who are among the top 20 players in the league for a 10th straight season Dec 25, 2013 9:41 PM PT

Christmas Gift: Deion Wright Tops Ratings Heading into Tough Pac-12 Play

Delon Wright gave Utah the biggest Christmas gift this season. Jordan Adams (UCLA), Sean Kilpatrick (Cincy) and Shabazz Napier (UConn) are chasing him for Player of the Year. The ratings of all 3500 or so players appear on www.valueaddbasketball.com after leaders are released by Breitbart Sports. Wright will now have to prove he can keep improving against a much-improved Pac-12, including games against six teams that are projected to go to the NCAA tournament. Dec 25, 2013 6:16 PM PT

Big Man Scores Historic 48 Year After Dismissal

In April of 2011, I rated Aaric Murray as No. 1 on the wish list of big men. By earlier this year ESPN's Eamonn Brennan noted Murray was seeking redemption in the SWAC and saying he wanted movie rights if Murray came back. The movie deal may be one step closer as Murray rebounded from his dismissal from West Virginia to play one of the best games of any big man in the past decade – scoring 48 points to lead his team to a stunning 90-89 upset of Temple. Dec 18, 2013 11:07 PM PT

Top Value Add Stars Clash in No. 1 Arizona's Win over Michigan

Glenn Robinson finally looked like the preseason Value Add Player of the Year, hitting all seven of his first half shots against the Number 1 team in the nation Saturday. Two years ago we projected Arizona as one of the top two teams in 2014 after they grabbed our top ranked transfer TJ McConnell, and today they are only team in the country with six of the top 500 players in the nation at www.valueaddbasketball.com including Nick Johnson, whose top 20 Value Add ranking was featured on the University of Arizona's website last year. (see table of rankings for all players on both teams below) Dec 14, 2013 1:06 PM PT

Auburn Church-goers Loudest Cheers for God's Call

AUBURN – Down the road from arguably the most conservative student body in the nation, Mass concluded Sunday with loud applause after acknowledgment that Auburn would play for the national title. After a week of greeting Alabama fans with, "Do you have a second, I need to run something past you?" the Congregation was thrilled, but their reaction paled in comparison to an announcement about God's call. Dec 8, 2013 4:54 PM PT

Value Add Top 50: John Brown Visits Georgetown

John Brown has hit 65 percent of his shots, but Thursday he will face a Georgetown team that only only lets opponents make 36.8 percent of their shots. Brown ranks 2nd in Value Add on the initial top 50 that includes five ACC players and is led by Roberto Nelson of Oregon State. Brown is followed by third-ranked Jordan Adams of UCLA, Sean Kilpatrick of Cincinnati and Kevin Pangos at Gonzaga (see top 50 list below). Dec 5, 2013 12:11 PM PT

Value Add Player/Team Rankings: Atlantic Sun

Defending season champ Mercer is favored to hold off tournament champ and NCAA thrillers Florida Gulf Coast for the title. Florida Gulf Coast is not as deep as last year, but has the top two players in the conference in Bernard Thompson and Chase Fieler. Dec 3, 2013 2:46 PM PT

Value Add Player/Team Rankings: American Athletic

Defending Big East and National champ Louisville will try to hold off defending CUSA champ Memphis, which stunned Oklahoma State this weekend, and Value Add 2nd Team All-American Shabazz Napier who pulled out another one Monday with a 4-point play and buzzer beater en route to 26 points and a win over Florida. It will be Louisville’s only year in the new American Athletic Conference before they head to the ACC, and Value Add has them as the projected No. 1 team in the country. Dec 3, 2013 2:46 PM PT

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