World stocks rise in post-Brexit recovery

After the shock of last Friday's Brexit referendum sent world markets into initial freefal
AFP

Hong Kong (AFP) – Global stocks rose Friday, with the London market now in a much better place than before Britain’s vote to leave the EU, and others firmly on road to recovery.

Asian stocks led the way, ending the week with another rally on optimism that central banks globally will step up to support growth in the face of uncertainty caused by Britain’s vote.

Wall Street was slightly firmer in early New York business.

After the shock of the referendum result sent world markets into initial free fall last Friday, they have surged over the past week as authorities moved to soothe concerns another rout was imminent.

“The FTSE 100 looks on course to post its best week since 2011,” said Michael Hewson at CMC Markets.

– ‘Carney bounce’ –

In mid-afternoon, the benchmark London index stood 0.6 percent higher at 6,543.99. This compares with its 6,338.10 on June 23, its last level before the British result was published.

The Paris and Frankfurt stock markets were also higher, but remained below their pre-Brexit vote highs.

On Thursday, Bank of England boss Mark Carney became the latest to provide assurances, indicating policymakers could embark on fresh monetary easing — raising the possibility of a cut in rates.

Carney, who had urged Britain to vote to stay in the EU, said “the economic outlook has deteriorated and some monetary policy easing will likely be required over the summer”, although he said there were limits to what the bank could do.

His comments sent the pound tumbling Thursday, but provided the equity market with what Hewson called a “Carney bounce”.

On Friday, sterling was steady against the dollar, while the euro clawed back some of the week’s losses against the US currency.

Analysts warned that although the initial Brexit fear factor has subsided, markets are still on edge.

“The Brexit shock wave is not totally digested yet and the uncertainty into which markets have been thrown remains a great source of worry for coming weeks and even months,” economists at Saxo Banque in Paris said.

On Friday, Tokyo ended 0.7 percent higher despite data showing weak confidence among Japanese businesses, while consumer prices dropped for a third straight month in June.

Sydney added 0.3 percent and Seoul 0.9 percent. Shanghai climbed 0.1 percent, with dealers unmoved by figures showing China’s manufacturing sector contracted last month.

– ‘Mood for easing –

“The mood for more easing is likely to spread around the world, and stock prices are headed up,” Juichi Wako, a senior strategist with Nomura Securities Co, said.

“It’s not to say that the crisis has now turned into a blessing, but the heightened sense of urgency among authorities will allow market-favourable policy responses to continue.”

While markets are on the rise, analysts remain cautious about the long-term effects of Britain’s exit from a four-decade partnership with one of the world’s biggest trading blocs.

The International Monetary Fund described the Brexit as a major threat to world growth and Standard & Poor’s cut its credit rating for the EU by one notch to AA, its third highest level.

Eurozone unemployment fell to a near five-year low in May, official data said on Friday, in a rare positive sign for a sluggish European economy struggling to return to solid growth.

While analysts welcomed the drop, they also predicted that it is not enough to reverse central bank thinking that more credit easing is needed to support economies.

“Despite May’s decline, the eurozone unemployment rate remains too high to generate meaningful inflationary pressure,” Stephen Brown, European Economist at Capital Economics, said.

“We still think that the ECB has a lot more work to do if it is to stand any chance of hitting its inflation target in the medium term,” he added.

– Key figures around 1345 GMT 

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.6 percent at 6,543.99

Frankfurt – DAX 30: UP 0.8 percent 9,753.00

Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.7 percent at 4,266.45

New York – DOW: UP 0.1 percent at 17,946.00

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.7 percent at 15,682.48 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng: Closed for public holiday

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.1 percent at 2,932.48 (close)

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3311 from $1.3314 Thursday

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1159 from $1.1104

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 102.57 yen from 103.23 yen

COMMENTS

Please let us know if you're having issues with commenting.