Iona pulled out an 87-86 OT thriller to claim the MAAC, and South Dakota State outdid them with thrillers Monday and Tuesday to claim the Summit bid to March Madness, leaving 174 teams vying for the final 24 spots.
So far the tournaments have been good news for bubble teams – the teams that would get a bid anyway have won their tournaments to not create an extra bid from their conference. The value of specific players, and those that are injured for the tournament, are listed at www.valueaddbasketball.com.
Gonzaga beat St. Mary’s for the West Coast title, but either of those teams would have made the tournament anyway. If Santa Clara or Brigham Young had taken the title they would have “stolen” a third bid for the conference. Brigham Young keeps a faint hope of an at large so soon after upsetting Gonzaga, but the fact that they were blown out by St. Mary’s in the semifinal makes it very unlikely.
Here are the 217 teams that are either in the tournament (auto bid for winning conference or unanimous choice by more than 100 bracket experts) or at least theoretically alive on a very large “bubble.” Most of the teams that are listed as “out” of their conference tournament below do not have a realistic chance of an at-large bid, but if you could at least make the case then we list them as alive.
The final brackets come out Sunday evening on CBS.
| Teams Ratings as of 3/3 | Conf | Next tour | KenPom | At-Large if no auto | Win Conf | Experts bracket rank | Ave Seed | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davidson | A10 | 3/8 tip | 88 | 0% | 3% | bubble | ||
| Dayton | A10 | 3/8 tip | 33 | 100% | 29% | 20 | 7.69 | in |
| Duquesne | A10 | 3/8 tip | 216 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Fordham | A10 | 3/8 tip | 191 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| George Mason | A10 | 3/8 tip | 117 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| George Washington | A10 | 3/8 tip | 125 | 0% | 2% | bubble | ||
| La Salle | A10 | 3/8 tip | 142 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| Massachusetts | A10 | 3/8 tip | 154 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Rhode Island | A10 | 3/8 tip | 48 | 70% | 23% | 37 | 14.64 | bubble |
| Richmond | A10 | 3/8 tip | 89 | 0% | 7% | bubble | ||
| St. Bonaventure | A10 | 3/8 tip | 92 | 0% | 3% | bubble | ||
| St. Josephs | A10 | 3/8 tip | 178 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| St. Louis | A10 | 3/8 tip | 275 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| VCU | A10 | 3/8 tip | 47 | 97% | 31% | 29 | 8.84 | in |
| Clemson | ACC | 3/8 2ndR | 38 | 0% | 1% | 17.75 | bubble | |
| Duke | ACC | 3/8 2ndR | 16 | 100% | 16% | 16 | 3.68 | in |
| Florida St | ACC | 3/9 Quar | 19 | 100% | 10% | 11 | 3.42 | in |
| Georgia Tech | ACC | out | 77 | 1% | 0% | 79 | 17.45 | bubble |
| Louisville | ACC | 3/9 Quar | 7 | 100% | 19% | 15 | 2.03 | in |
| Miami FL | ACC | 3/8 2ndR | 29 | 88% | 2% | 34 | 7.65 | in |
| North Carolina | ACC | 3/9 Quar | 4 | 100% | 31% | 5 | 1.10 | in |
| Notre Dame | ACC | 3/9 Quar | 25 | 100% | 5% | 24 | 5.14 | in |
| Pittsburgh | ACC | 3/8 2ndR | 73 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Syracuse | ACC | 3/8 2ndR | 51 | 16% | 1% | 57 | 12.17 | bubble |
| Virginia | ACC | 3/8 2ndR | 6 | 100% | 13% | 19 | 4.88 | in |
| Virginia Tech | ACC | 3/8 2ndR | 40 | 86% | 1% | 36 | 8.25 | in |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 3/8 2ndR | 31 | 35% | 1% | 55 | 16.51 | bubble |
| Albany | AE | 3/11 final | 130 | 0% | 12% | bubble | ||
| Vermont | AE | 3/11 final | 68 | 48% | 73% | 50 | 12.96 | bubble |
| Cincinnati | Amer | 3/9 tip | 21 | 100% | 38% | 18 | 5.22 | in |
| Connecticut | Amer | 3/9 tip | 90 | 0% | 3% | bubble | ||
| East Carolina | Amer | 3/9 tip | 196 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Houston | Amer | 3/9 tip | 44 | 55% | 11% | 45 | 17.23 | bubble |
| Memphis | Amer | 3/9 tip | 84 | 0% | 2% | bubble | ||
| SMU | Amer | 3/9 tip | 15 | 100% | 47% | 5.69 | in | |
| South Florida | Amer | 3/9 tip | 290 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Temple | Amer | 3/9 tip | 115 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| Tulane | Amer | 3/9 tip | 247 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Tulsa | Amer | 3/9 tip | 129 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| UCF | Amer | 3/9 tip | 75 | 3% | 4% | 69 | bubble | |
| Florida Gulf Coast | ASun | auto | 114 | 0% | 71% | 14.87 | in | |
| Illinois | B10 | 3/8 tip | 65 | 12% | 1% | 59 | 16.85 | bubble |
| Indiana | B10 | 3/8 tip | 49 | 2% | 4% | 72 | bubble | |
| Iowa | B10 | 3/8 tip | 70 | 2% | 1% | 73 | bubble | |
| Maryland | B10 | 3/8 tip | 37 | 98% | 6% | 28 | 7.03 | in |
| Michigan | B10 | 3/8 tip | 27 | 63% | 7% | 43 | 8.82 | in |
| Michigan St | B10 | 3/8 tip | 50 | 89% | 5% | 33 | 9.11 | bubble |
| Minnesota | B10 | 3/8 tip | 32 | 100% | 7% | 21 | 5.45 | in |
| Nebraska | B10 | 3/8 tip | 94 | 1% | 0% | 77 | bubble | |
| Northwestern | B10 | 3/8 tip | 36 | 70% | 4% | 38 | 9.65 | in |
| Ohio St | B10 | 3/8 tip | 66 | 3% | 1% | 70 | 17.80 | bubble |
| Penn St | B10 | 3/8 tip | 82 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Purdue | B10 | 3/8 tip | 13 | 100% | 37% | 17 | 4.26 | in |
| Rutgers | B10 | 3/8 tip | 138 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Wisconsin | B10 | 3/8 tip | 24 | 99% | 25% | 27 | 6.18 | bubble |
| Baylor | B12 | 3/8 tip | 11 | 100% | 13% | 10 | 2.31 | in |
| Iowa St | B12 | 3/8 tip | 23 | 100% | 10% | 23 | 6.67 | in |
| Kansas | B12 | 3/8 tip | 9 | 100% | 30% | 1 | 1.01 | in |
| Kansas St | B12 | 3/8 tip | 35 | 6% | 2% | 61 | 16.88 | bubble |
| Oklahoma | B12 | 3/8 tip | 63 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Oklahoma St | B12 | 3/8 tip | 18 | 87% | 6% | 35 | 7.05 | in |
| TCU | B12 | 3/8 tip | 43 | 0% | 1% | 17.11 | bubble | |
| Texas | B12 | 3/8 tip | 76 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Texas Tech | B12 | 3/8 tip | 34 | 0% | 2% | bubble | ||
| West Virginia | B12 | 3/8 tip | 3 | 100% | 35% | 13 | 4.18 | in |
| Butler | BE | 3/8 tip | 20 | 100% | 18% | 4 | 3.12 | in |
| Creighton | BE | 3/8 tip | 26 | 99% | 12% | 26 | 6.08 | in |
| DePaul | BE | 3/8 tip | 175 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Georgetown | BE | 3/8 tip | 61 | 0% | 2% | bubble | ||
| Marquette | BE | 3/8 tip | 30 | 50% | 8% | 46 | 11.43 | bubble |
| Providence | BE | 3/8 tip | 55 | 49% | 2% | 49 | 11.21 | bubble |
| Seton Hall | BE | 3/8 tip | 57 | 45% | 3% | 53 | 10.85 | bubble |
| St. Johns | BE | 3/8 tip | 86 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Villanova | BE | 3/8 tip | 2 | 100% | 49% | 3 | 1.00 | in |
| Xavier | BE | 3/8 tip | 46 | 64% | 6% | 42 | 9.01 | bubble |
| Eastern Washington | BSky | 3/9 Quar | 172 | 0% | 16% | 17.51 | bubble | |
| Idaho | BSky | 3/9 Quar | 226 | 0% | 9% | bubble | ||
| Montana | BSky | 3/9 Quar | 197 | 0% | 12% | bubble | ||
| North Dakota | BSky | 3/9 Quar | 185 | 0% | 25% | 16.40 | bubble | |
| Portland St | BSky | 3/9 Quar | 234 | 0% | 4% | bubble | ||
| Weber St | BSky | 3/10 Semi | 186 | 0% | 27% | 17.72 | bubble | |
| Winthrop | BSth | auto | 116 | 0% | 48% | 16.11 | in | |
| Cal Poly | BW | 3/9 tip | 297 | 0% | 4% | bubble | ||
| Cal St. Fullerton | BW | 3/9 tip | 279 | 0% | 7% | bubble | ||
| Long Beach St | BW | 3/9 tip | 240 | 0% | 14% | 17.84 | bubble | |
| UC Davis | BW | 3/9 tip | 219 | 0% | 16% | 17.33 | bubble | |
| UC Irvine | BW | 3/9 tip | 151 | 0% | 48% | 16.54 | bubble | |
| UC Riverside | BW | 3/9 tip | 318 | 0% | 3% | bubble | ||
| UC Santa Barbara | BW | 3/9 tip | 339 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| College of Charleston | CAA | 3/6 final | 85 | 3% | 22% | 71 | bubble | |
| North Carolina Wilmington | CAA | auto | 59 | 63% | 40% | 44 | 11.94 | in |
| Charlotte | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 236 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Florida Atlantic | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 260 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Florida Intl | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 298 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Louisiana Tech | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 87 | 0% | 18% | bubble | ||
| Marshall | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 161 | 0% | 5% | bubble | ||
| Middle Tennessee | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 53 | 49% | 43% | 48 | 10.85 | bubble |
| North Texas | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 324 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Old Dominion | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 113 | 0% | 11% | bubble | ||
| Rice | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 133 | 0% | 5% | bubble | ||
| Southern Miss | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 325 | bubble | ||||
| UAB | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 178 | 0% | 14% | bubble | ||
| UTEP | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 207 | 0% | 2% | bubble | ||
| UTSA | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 268 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Western Kentucky | CUSA | 3/8 tip | 237 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| Northern Kentucky | Horz | auto | 150 | 0% | 7% | in | ||
| Brown | Ivy | 3/11 tip | 264 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Columbia | Ivy | 3/11 tip | 239 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| Cornell | Ivy | 3/11 tip | 275 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Dartmouth | Ivy | 3/11 tip | 303 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Harvard | Ivy | 3/11 tip | 110 | 0% | 22% | bubble | ||
| Penn | Ivy | 3/11 tip | 167 | 0% | 15% | bubble | ||
| Princeton | Ivy | 3/11 tip | 67 | 65% | 49% | 41 | 13.33 | bubble |
| Yale | Ivy | 3/11 tip | 144 | 0% | 13% | bubble | ||
| Iona | MAAC | auto | 126 | 0% | 16% | in | ||
| Monmouth | MAAC | out | 78 | 49% | 39% | 47 | 12.84 | bubble |
| Akron | MAC | 3/9 Quar | 108 | 4% | 21% | 65 | 13.83 | bubble |
| Ball St | MAC | 3/9 Quar | 176 | 0% | 7% | bubble | ||
| Buffalo | MAC | 3/9 Quar | 123 | 0% | 13% | bubble | ||
| Eastern Michigan | MAC | 3/9 Quar | 135 | 0% | 9% | bubble | ||
| Kent St | MAC | 3/9 Quar | 157 | 0% | 8% | bubble | ||
| Toledo | MAC | 3/9 Quar | 131 | 0% | 7% | bubble | ||
| Western Michigan | MAC | 3/9 Quar | 152 | 0% | 8% | bubble | ||
| Bethune Cookman | MEAC | 3/8 quar | 338 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| Hampton | MEAC | 3/9 Quar | 307 | 0% | 8% | bubble | ||
| Howard | MEAC | 3/9 Quar | 337 | 0% | 2% | bubble | ||
| Maryland Eastern Shore | MEAC | 3/9 Quar | 317 | 0% | 5% | bubble | ||
| Morgan St | MEAC | 3/9 Quar | 323 | 0% | 7% | bubble | ||
| Norfolk St | MEAC | 3/8 quar | 299 | 0% | 16% | bubble | ||
| North Carolina Central | MEAC | 3/8 quar | 174 | 0% | 57% | 16.00 | bubble | |
| South Carolina St | MEAC | 3/8 quar | 336 | bubble | ||||
| Illinois St | MVC | out | 45 | 94% | 13% | 31 | 12.56 | bubble |
| Wichita St | MVC | auto | 10 | 95% | 78% | 30 | 9.42 | in |
| Air Force | MWC | 3/8 tip | 220 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Boise St | MWC | 3/8 tip | 98 | 0% | 12% | bubble | ||
| Colorado St | MWC | 3/8 tip | 91 | 3% | 11% | 67 | 17.74 | bubble |
| Fresno St | MWC | 3/8 tip | 103 | 0% | 9% | bubble | ||
| Nevada | MWC | 3/8 tip | 60 | 67% | 36% | 40 | 12.27 | bubble |
| New Mexico | MWC | 3/8 tip | 124 | 0% | 7% | bubble | ||
| San Diego St | MWC | 3/8 tip | 83 | 0% | 17% | 17.81 | bubble | |
| San Jose St | MWC | 3/8 tip | 203 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| UNLV | MWC | 3/8 tip | 252 | 0% | 2% | bubble | ||
| Utah St | MWC | 3/8 tip | 147 | 0% | 3% | bubble | ||
| Wyoming | MWC | 3/8 tip | 141 | 0% | 3% | bubble | ||
| Mount St. Marys | NEC | auto | 215 | 0% | 50% | 16.04 | in | |
| Belmont | OVC | out | 93 | 16% | 62% | 58 | 13.75 | bubble |
| Jacksonville St | OVC | auto | 169 | 0% | 6% | in | ||
| Arizona | P12 | 3/8 tip | 22 | 100% | 18% | 14 | 2.99 | in |
| Arizona St | P12 | 3/8 tip | 128 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| California | P12 | 3/8 tip | 54 | 46% | 6% | 52 | 12.54 | bubble |
| Colorado | P12 | 3/8 tip | 74 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| Oregon | P12 | 3/8 tip | 17 | 100% | 34% | 7 | 1.94 | in |
| Oregon St | P12 | 3/8 tip | 271 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Stanford | P12 | 3/8 tip | 100 | 1% | 0% | 78 | bubble | |
| UCLA | P12 | 3/8 tip | 12 | 100% | 36% | 8 | 2.69 | in |
| USC | P12 | 3/8 tip | 64 | 70% | 1% | 39 | 10.53 | bubble |
| Utah | P12 | 3/8 tip | 39 | 4% | 3% | 63 | bubble | |
| Washington | P12 | 3/8 tip | 171 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Washington St | P12 | 3/8 tip | 198 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Bucknell | Pat | 3/8 final | 80 | 0% | 62% | 14.43 | bubble | |
| Lehigh | Pat | 3/8 final | 119 | 0% | 21% | bubble | ||
| Appalachian St | SB | 3/8 tip | 262 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Arkansas St | SB | 3/8 tip | 118 | 0% | 14% | bubble | ||
| Coastal Carolina | SB | 3/8 tip | 195 | 0% | 2% | bubble | ||
| Georgia Southern | SB | 3/8 tip | 156 | 0% | 11% | bubble | ||
| Georgia St | SB | 3/8 tip | 120 | 0% | 15% | bubble | ||
| Little Rock | SB | 3/8 tip | 244 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| Louisiana Lafayette | SB | 3/8 tip | 139 | 0% | 7% | bubble | ||
| Louisiana Monroe | SB | 3/8 tip | 255 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| South Alabama | SB | 3/8 tip | 238 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| Texas St | SB | 3/8 tip | 194 | 0% | 3% | bubble | ||
| Troy | SB | 3/8 tip | 162 | 0% | 4% | bubble | ||
| UT Arlington | SB | 3/8 tip | 71 | 46% | 41% | 51 | 12.34 | bubble |
| East Tennessee St | SC | auto | 69 | 6% | 31% | 62 | 14.47 | in |
| Alabama | SEC | 3/8 tip | 62 | 4% | 1% | 64 | bubble | |
| Arkansas | SEC | 3/8 tip | 41 | 92% | 4% | 32 | 8.99 | in |
| Auburn | SEC | 3/8 tip | 79 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Florida | SEC | 3/8 tip | 5 | 100% | 38% | 9 | 3.27 | in |
| Georgia | SEC | 3/8 tip | 52 | 18% | 1% | 56 | 17.64 | bubble |
| Kentucky | SEC | 3/8 tip | 8 | 100% | 45% | 6 | 2.35 | in |
| LSU | SEC | 3/8 tip | 153 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Mississippi | SEC | 3/8 tip | 81 | 1% | 0% | 75 | bubble | |
| Mississippi St | SEC | 3/8 tip | 96 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Missouri | SEC | 3/8 tip | 168 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| South Carolina | SEC | 3/8 tip | 28 | 99% | 6% | 25 | 7.54 | in |
| Tennessee | SEC | 3/8 tip | 59 | 1% | 0% | 76 | bubble | |
| Texas A&M | SEC | 3/8 tip | 56 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| Vanderbilt | SEC | 3/8 tip | 42 | 42% | 2% | 54 | 14.40 | bubble |
| Central Arkansas | Slnd | 3/8 tip | 306 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Houston Baptist | Slnd | 3/8 tip | 210 | 0% | 10% | bubble | ||
| Lamar | Slnd | 3/8 tip | 225 | 0% | 6% | bubble | ||
| McNeese St | Slnd | 3/8 tip | 314 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| New Orleans | Slnd | 3/8 tip | 184 | 0% | 27% | 16.09 | bubble | |
| Nicholls St | Slnd | 3/8 tip | 311 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Northwestern St | Slnd | 3/8 tip | 296 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Sam Houston St | Slnd | 3/8 tip | 227 | 0% | 11% | 17.84 | bubble | |
| Southeastern Louisiana | Slnd | 3/8 tip | 224 | 0% | 5% | bubble | ||
| Stephen F Austin | Slnd | 3/8 tip | 232 | 0% | 27% | bubble | ||
| Texas A&M Corpus Chris | Slnd | 3/8 tip | 214 | 0% | 14% | 17.74 | bubble | |
| South Dakota St | Sum | auto | 192 | 0% | 12% | in | ||
| Alabama A&M | SWAC | out | 351 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| Alabama St | SWAC | out | 343 | 0% | 2% | bubble | ||
| Arkansas Pine Bluff | SWAC | out | 347 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| Grambling St | SWAC | 3/10 Semi | 331 | 0% | 5% | bubble | ||
| Jackson St | SWAC | out | 327 | 0% | 8% | bubble | ||
| Southern | SWAC | 3/10 Semi | 321 | 0% | 16% | bubble | ||
| Texas Southern | SWAC | 3/10 Semi | 202 | 0% | 60% | 15.96 | bubble | |
| Cal St. Bakersfield | WAC | 3/9 tip | 105 | 3% | 42% | 66 | 15.42 | bubble |
| Chicago St | WAC | 3/9 tip | 340 | 0% | 0% | bubble | ||
| New Mexico St | WAC | 3/9 tip | 101 | 0% | 45% | 17.16 | bubble | |
| Seattle | WAC | 3/9 tip | 273 | 0% | 1% | bubble | ||
| UMKC | WAC | 3/9 tip | 221 | 0% | 5% | bubble | ||
| UT Rio Grande Valley | WAC | 3/9 tip | 308 | bubble | ||||
| Utah Valley | WAC | 3/9 tip | 193 | 0% | 6% | bubble | ||
| BYU | WCC | out | 72 | 6% | 3% | 60 | bubble | |
| Gonzaga | WCC | auto | 1 | 100% | 75% | 2 | 1.25 | in |
| St. Marys | WCC | out | 14 | 100% | 21% | 22 | 6.23 | in |
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