Ben Carson Surges to 14 Point Lead Over Donald Trump In Iowa

Ben Carson waves to the crowd as he arrives to discuss his new book 'A More Perfect U
Paul J. Richards/AFP/Getty Images

A Monmouth University poll released Monday shows Dr. Ben Carson surging to a mammoth 14 point lead over Donald Trump. Currently, the good doctor leads the billionaire businessman 32% to 18%. Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz are tied for third at 10%. Jeb Bush is at 8%. Carly Fiorina, who has pretty much disappeared from the news cycle over the past two weeks, is at just 4%.

It is safe to say that Carson is now the leader in Iowa. Of the last five polls taken over the last 10 days, Carson’s leading by an average of 9%. The closest Trump has come to Carson is a tie in one of these polls, and as of now that poll looks like an outlier.

Carson is the second choice of 19% of caucusgoers. Trump earns 12%.

Within this same poll, Monmouth found that over the last two months Carson jumped +9 points, Trump lost -5 points, and Fiorina lost -5 points.

The good news for Trump is that only 19% of caucusgoers have made up their mind. Only 43% have a strong preference.

Carson’s strength comes from his phenomenal approval rating of 84%. Only 7% view him unfavorably and actually improved from 81% – 6% rating just two weeks ago. Trump’s approval sits at just 53% to 33%. Trump lost 4 points over two months.

At least Trump is rightside up. Jeb Bush is upside down 42% to 46%.

In all the other states, Trump enjoys a commanding lead.


Follow John Nolte on Twitter @NolteNC               



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