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Poll: GOP’s Hawley Maintains Lead over Democrat McCaskill in Missouri

FILE - In this Aug. 17, 2017, file photo, Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill, left, talks with Republican Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley during the Governor's Ham Breakfast at the Missouri State Fair in Sedalia, Mo. Hawley announced in a video to be released Tuesday that he will run for the …
AP Photo/Charlie Riedel, File
Washington, D.C.

Attorney General Josh Hawley, the GOP nominee for U.S. Senate in Missouri, has a lead outside the margin of error over Democrat incumbent Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) in the latest survey of Missouri voters.

A poll from the Trafalgar Group, a GOP firm, released on Sunday evening shows Hawley at 44.8 percent while McCaskill is down at 39.7 percent. The survey of 1,791 likely voters was conducted from October 29 to November 4 and has a margin of error of 2.3 percent–meaning that Hawley’s 5.1 percent lead over McCaskill is outside that margin.

Most other recent surveys, like a newly released Emerson poll, have Hawley in the lead as well:

Since the beginning of October, per Real Clear Politics, McCaskill has only led in one poll–an NBC News/Marist poll released on Monday.

President Donald Trump rallied with Hawley in Missouri on Thursday and will travel back to the state again on Monday night for his final rally of the midterm election with Hawley. Special guests Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity will join Trump and Hawley at the Missouri rally on Monday evening.

McCaskill is one of the hardest left-wing Democrats in the U.S. Senate and has worked against President Trump’s agenda at every turn. First and foremost, she opposed his two Supreme Court Justice nominees’ confirmations–both Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh. Secondly, she opposed the tax cuts bill that President Trump backed. She also voted for amnesty for illegal aliens via the “Gang of Eight” bill in 2013.

Trump has hammered her on Twitter for consistently voting against his agenda:

McCaskill is closing her campaign by echoing failed 2016 Democrat presidential candidate Hillary Rodham Clinton, as Hawley eagerly points out on Twitter:

While McCaskill struggles through to the finish, Hawley has been on a “Stop Schumer, Fire Claire” bus tour barnstorming the state of Missouri in the final hours:

NRA President Ollie North joined him on the trail, too:

It remains to be seen what will happen in Missouri, but President Trump’s decision to make this state his final campaign stop of the midterm elections is significant, as it signals how close this race really is–and how solid of a candidate Hawley has become.

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