Exclusive – Poll: ‘Transgender’ Men Ads Lead to 8-Point Voter Swing to Republican Matt Bevin from Democrat Andy Beshear

Biological female and "transgender" biological male in a Campaign for American Principles
Campaign for American Principles

A conservative group notes polling data shows an eight-point swing in voters’ shift to incumbent GOP Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin from Democrat candidate Andy Beshear after they view ads highlighting Beshear’s support of biological men competing in women’s sports.

The Campaign for American Principles (CAP) states:

The ads are moving voters in an incredible way — the chart below represents over 2,000 respondents. The gray bar represents Bevin’s support among voters BEFORE seeing the ad and the blue bar is Bevin’s support from voters AFTER seeing the ad. For voters 45-54, Bevin sees an 8pt increase in support, 55-64 give him an additional 4.1pts, and 65+ shift over 9.4pts towards Bevin after seeing the ad.

Campaign for American Principles

(Campaign for American Principles)

“Andy Beshear is too extreme for Kentucky,” CAP states in its second digital ad in the state.

“All any athlete wants is a fair shot in competition,” the ad’s narrator states. “To play by the rules. To show how hard work pays off and how champions are made.”

“But what if the rules change?” the narrator asks. “If Andy Beshear gets his way, there won’t be any rules. Anyone at any time could change teams for any reason. Beshear calls this equality. But is it fair?”

“Vote against Andy Beshear,” CAP urges. “He’s too extreme for Kentucky.”

CAP notes its first ad attacking Beshear for his extreme views that would destroy women’s sports was released on September 23 as part of a $250,000 digital ad campaign microtargeting 400,000 Democrat and independent voters in Kentucky.

This second ad will be added to the rotation, microtargeting the same voters, and CAP will spend an additional $200,000, bringing its total spend in the race up to $450,000.

A recent study in Sweden has shown that biological males who claim to be transgender women still retained considerable advantages over biological females in strength and muscle mass, even after a full year of hormone therapy.

“Despite the robust increases in muscle mass and strength in [transgender men], the [transgender women] were still stronger and had more muscle mass following 12 months of treatment,” the researchers said. “These findings add new knowledge that could be relevant when evaluating transwomen’s eligibility to compete in the women’s category of athletic competitions.”

In another study, researchers concluded that male athletes who claim to be female hold an “intolerable” advantage over biological female athletes.

Three professors — two in bioethics and one in physiology — noted the International Olympic Committee (IOC) is allowing “transgender women” to compete against biological females if their testosterone is below 10 nmol/L. However, even that level is “significantly higher” than that of biological females, they asserted.

The researchers also stated that “indirect effects of testosterone will not be altered by hormone therapy.”

“For example, hormone therapy will not alter bone structure, lung volume or heart size of the transwoman athlete, especially if she transitions postpuberty, so natural advantages including joint articulation, stroke volume and maximal oxygen uptake will be maintained,” they explained.

“We conclude that the advantage to transwomen afforded by the IOC guidelines is an intolerable unfairness,” state the professors.


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