Poll: Independent Voters Give Donald Trump 7-Point Edge over Joe Biden

joe biden donald trump
Alex Wong/Getty Images, Inset: NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images, BNN Edit

Independent voters give former President Donald Trump an edge in a hypothetical 2024 head-to-head matchup against President Joe Biden, a Redfield & Wilton Strategies survey released this week found.

“If the candidates for the Presidential Election on November 5, 2024, are as follows, for whom will you vote?” the survey asked, giving voters the choices of Trump, Biden, a Libertarian candidate, a Green candidate, or other.

Overall, Trump and Biden are tied, garnering 41 percent support each, while two percent chose a Libertarian candidate and one percent chose a Green candidate and 11 percent indicated that they remained undecided.

Predictably, a majority of Republicans, 81 percent, said they would support President Trump, while 78 percent of Democrats said they would support Biden. However, Trump holds a sizable edge with independent voters, as 39 percent said they would support him, compared to 32 percent who chose Biden. Seventeen percent in that group remain unsure. 

What is more, 34 percent of those who say they did not vote in the 2020 election would support Trump, compared to 14 percent who said the same of Biden. 

According to the survey, “Given the distribution of voters in the United States, an overall tie in the popular vote would most likely mean a Donald Trump victory in the Electoral College.”

WELLINGTON, OHIO - JUNE 26: Former US President Donald Trump speaks to supporters during a rally at the Lorain County Fairgrounds on June 26, 2021 in Wellington, Ohio. Trump is in Ohio to campaign for his former White House advisor Max Miller. Miller is challenging incumbent Rep. Anthony Gonzales in the 16th congressional district GOP primary. This is Trump's first rally since leaving office. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Former US President Donald Trump speaks to supporters during a rally at the Lorain County Fairgrounds on June 26, 2021 in Wellington, Ohio. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

The poll was taken February 6, 2022, among 1,500 eligible voters.

In recent months, survey after survey has shown respondents giving Trump the edge in hypothetical matchups against Biden as the current presidency is dominated by inflation woes, spiraling consumer sentiment, and mounting frustrations as mask mandates remain at the federal level.

While Trump has not formally announced intentions to run, many political figures suspect he will.

“You know he’s running, I know he’s running. It’s just the question of when he announces, Matt,” Dr. Sebastian Gorka, a former deputy assistant to Trump, told Breitbart News Saturday in December.

Last month, Trump gave an offhand comment while golfing on his Trump National golf course that he is both the 45th and 47th president.


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