Poll: Independents Lean Toward Donald Trump over Joe Biden

WASHINGTON, UNITED STATES - JULY 26: Former President of the United States Donald J. Trump delivers remarks at the America First Agenda Summit hosted by America First Policy Institute in Washington, D.C., United States on July 26, 2022. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)
Kyle Mazza/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images, Greg Nash-Pool/Getty Images

More independents prefer former President Donald Trump than President Joe Biden in a head-to-head matchup, the latest survey from The Economist/YouGov found.

The survey asked respondents who they would support between Biden and Trump if the 2024 general election was held now.

The two potential challengers are tied across the board with 39 percent support each, followed by nine percent who said they would not vote, seven percent who said “other,” and five percent who remain unsure. However, Biden has a three-point advantage among registered voters, specifically.

Predictably, most Republicans, 83 percent, said they would support Trump, while most Democrats, 86 percent, said they would support Biden. However, Trump has an edge among independents, as 36 percent said they would support Trump. Biden falls ten points behind with 26 percent supporting him in the general election.

Seventeen percent of independents said they would not vote, 11 percent said “other,” and nine percent said they are not sure.

When asked who they believe will win the presidential election — Biden or Trump — regardless of personal preference, 39 percent said Trump would win the presidential election, compared to 36 percent who believe Biden would emerge victorious. Over a quarter remain unsure. Biden has a two-point advantage among registered voters.

Republicans and Democrats are nearly equally confident that their party’s candidate would win, as 72 percent of Democrats said Biden would win and 73 percent of Republicans said Trump would win.

Once again, independents favor Trump, as 40 percent said the former president would win, compared to 26 percent who believe Biden would. Thirty-five percent remain unsure.

The survey was taken May 27-31, 2023, among 1,500 U.S. adult citizens. It comes weeks after the release of a Washington Post and ABC News poll showing Trump opening up a clear lead over Biden.

As Breitbart News reported:

The poll shows 49 percent of respondents said they would definitely or probably vote for Trump against Biden, or that they lean towards voting for Trump, whereas Biden in such a scenario only nets 42 percent.

That means Trump leads Biden by seven percent, well outside the survey’s margin of error.

In total, if Trump is the GOP nominee in 2024, the cross tabs for the poll show 36 percent say they would definitely vote for him against Biden, another nine percent say they would probably vote for Trump in that scenario, and another five percent are leaning toward voting for Trump.

The survey also comes on the heels of Trump’s latest campaign promise, vowing to end birthright citizenship via executive order on “day one” of his presidency.

WATCH: Exclusive — Trump Pledges Executive Order on ‘Day One’ of Presidency to End Birthright Citizenship for Illegal Aliens, ‘Birth Tourism’

Trump Campaign


Please let us know if you're having issues with commenting.