Nolte: More Polling Shows Trump Sweeping Every Swing State

Donald Trump
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Add Bloomberg/Morning Consult to the latest round of polls showing Donald Trump sweeping all the 2024 swing states.

Just a few days ago, EmersonPolling/the Hill surveys found former President Trump leading His Fraudulency Joe Biden in the seven states most likely to decide the next president.

Thursday, Bloomberg/Morning Consult showed the same. Here are the results from a two-way race:

  • Arizona: Trump 49 / Biden 43 — Trump +6
  • Georgia: Trump 49 / Biden 43 — Trump +6
  • Michigan: Trump 46 / Biden 44 — Trump +2
  • Nevada: Trump 48 / Biden 42 — Trump +6
  • North Carolina: Trump 50 / Biden 41 — Trump +9
  • Pennsylvania: Trump 49 / Biden 43 — Trump +6
  • Wisconsin: Trump 46 / Biden 42 — Trump +4

This same pollster had already surveyed these same states at the end of January. In some states, Trump improved his standing. In others, he lost some ground. Here is the net gain/loss for Trump compared to last month: Arizona: +3, Georgia: -2, Michigan: -3, Nevada: -2, North Carolina: -1, Pennsylvania: +3, Wisconsin: -1.

Bloomberg/Morning Consult also surveyed the same seven states with Robert Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein in the race. Overall, those results look even better for Trump:

  • Arizona: Trump 45 / Biden 36 / Kennedy 9 — Trump +9
  • Georgia: Trump 45 / Biden 38 / Kennedy 6 — Trump +7
  • Michigan: Trump 41 / Biden 40 / Kennedy 9 — Trump +1
  • Nevada: Trump 44 / Biden 37 / Kennedy 9 — Trump +7
  • North Carolina: Trump 45 / Biden 35 / Kennedy 9 — Trump +9
  • Pennsylvania: Trump 45 / Biden 36 / Kennedy 8 — Trump +3
  • Wisconsin: Trump 41 / Biden 35 / Kennedy 10 — Trump +6

Here’s the ground Trump has won/lost in this five-way race since last month: Arizona: +1, Georgia: no change, Michigan: -5, Nevada: -3, North Carolina: -4, Pennsylvania: no change, Wisconsin: -2.

Despite any fluctuations, here’s what matters… In a two-way race, Trump is at or near 50 percent in five of these states. In the remaining two, he’s at 46. Biden cannot top 44 percent in any of them. Hunter’s Dad is stuck between 41 and 43 percent in six states.

These polls are not outliers. In the RealClearPolitics average poll of polls, here are the results in those same swing states.

  • Arizona: Trump 47.5 / Biden 42 — Trump +5.5
  • Georgia: Trump 48.5 / Biden 42 — Trump +6.5
  • Michigan: Trump 48.2 / Biden 42.6 — Trump +3.6
  • Nevada: Trump 48.7 / Biden 41 — Trump +7.7
  • North Carolina: Trump 49 / Biden 43.3 — Trump +5.7
  • Pennsylvania: Trump 45 / Biden 44.2 — Trump -1
  • Wisconsin: Trump 46.4 / Biden 45.4 — Trump +1

Of those seven states, Biden allegedly won six — every one of those except for North Carolina.

The state I find most fascinating is Nevada. Trump is eight points up in a state Republicans have not won since 2004 — and that was a squeaker of around 2.5 points. Today, at least in the polling, Trump’s running away with it by nearly eight points.

The good news is that this is Trump’s election to lose. The bad news is that he is certainly capable of losing it. All he has to do to enjoy the greatest political comeback in American history is not remind a few million voters why they hate him more than inflation. If 2024 is about Joe Biden, Biden loses. If 2024 is about Donald Trump, Trump loses. Can Trump not make the election about himself? That’s the question.

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If Trump truly wants to enrage his enemies, he’ll act presidential for the next eight months. If he does that, the media will lose their collective minds.

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