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Exclusive–Breitbart/Gravis Swing State Poll Roundup: Florida, New Mexico, Virginia, North Carolina and Michigan

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These Breitbart/Gravis five swing state polls show a nation in flux as America’s 2016 presidential election ends Tuesday night.

Virginia

Democrat Hillary Clinton leads her GOP rival Donald Trump with 47 percent to 42 percent for the New York City developer in the battle for Virginia’s 13 electoral votes, according to the Breitbart/Gravis poll conducted Nov. 1 through Nov. 4 with 1,362 registered voters there.

The poll carries a 2.7 margin of error with a 95 percent level of confidence.

Libertarian Gary Johnson has the support of four percent of the poll participants with Green Party nominee the choice of one percent.

Virginia (November 5, 2016) v1 (2) by Breitbart News on Scribd

The voters have similar feelings for the two major candidates, 34 percent had a strongly favorable opinion of Clinton and 26 percent had a strongly favorable opinion of Trump. Forty-six percent had a strongly unfavorable opinion of Clinton with 48 percent for Trump.

Fifty-five percent said the country was going in the wrong direction to the 36 percent of Virginia voters who said the country was going in the right direction.

Fifty-five percent said that President Barack Obama‘s healthcare reform, Obamacare, was a success, 42 percent said it was not.

Fifty-three percent of Virginia voters said they wanted the next president to change the polices of the Obama administration, 42 percent said those policies should continue.

Republican Mitt Romney lost Virginia to Obama in the 2012 presidential election with 47 percent of the vote to the president’s 51 percent.

The Virginia poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a Florida-based polling company, with a combination of interactive voice response polling and an internet panel of cell phone users. Results were weighted to match a proprietary turnout model.

North Carolina

Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump are locked in a tight race for North Carolina’s 15 electoral votes with Clinton polling at 46 percent, Trump 45 percent, according to the Breitbart/Gravis poll conducted Nov. 1 through Nov. 4 with 1,250 registered voters there.

The poll carries a 2.8 percent margin of error with a 95 percent level of confidence.

North Carolina (November 5, 2016) v3 by Breitbart News on Scribd

Libertarian Gary Johnson had the support of three percent and Green Party nominee Dr. Jill Stein, one percent.

In the state’s Senate race Sen. Richard Burr (R.-N.C.) was at 47 percent to the 48 percent for his Democratic challenger, Deborah Ross.

In the 2012 contest, Republican Mitt Romney beat President Obama in North Carolina 50 percent to the President’s 48 percent. North Carolina and Indiana were the only states won by Obama in 2008 that went to Romney in 2012.

The North Carolina poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a Florida-based polling company, with a combination of interactive voice response polling and an internet panel of cell phone users. Results were weighted to match a proprietary turnout model.

Michigan

Republican Donald Trump trails his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the campaign for Michigan and its 16 electoral votes with 41 percent support to her 46 percent, according to the Breitbart/Gravis poll conducted conducted Nov. 1 through Nov. 4 with 1,079 voters.

The poll carries a 3 percent margin of error with a 95 percent level of confidence.

Michigan (November 5, 2016) v1 (1) by Breitbart News on Scribd

Asked about this statement – “For years, the political elites have governed America for their own benefit— and to the detriment of the American people. This election is the best chance in our lives to take back our government and change course.” – sixty-four percent of respondents said they agreed, which is a combination of 18 percent “Somewhat Agree” and 46 percent “Strongly Agree”. On the other side, 18 percent of Michigan respondents said “Strongly Disagree” and 10 percent said “Somewhat Disagree”.

Fifty-two percent of Michigan poll participants said the country was going in the wrong direction and 38 percent said it was going in the right direction.

Fifty-two percent said the next president should change the policies of President Barack Obama and 40 percent said the next president should continue them.

Fifty-one percent said the President’s healthcare reform legislation, Obamacare, was not a success and 36 percent said it was a success.

In the 2012 campaign, Obama won Michigan with 54 percent of the vote to 45  percent for his GOP challenger, Mitt Romney.

The Michigan poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a Florida-based polling company, with a combination of interactive voice response polling and an internet panel of cell phone users. Results were weighted to match a proprietary turnout model.

New Mexico

Hillary Clinton has a solid lead, 45 percent to 37 percent, over her Republican opponent Donald Trump in New Mexico, which has 5 electoral votes, according to the Breitbart/Gravis poll conducted Nov. 1 and Nov. 2 with 1,327 registered voters there.

The state is one of the few battleground states where the minor party candidates have a legitimate spoiler’s share of the voters. Libertarian Gary Johnson, a former two-term governor of the state, was the choice of 11 percent of the respondents; Green Party nominee Dr. Jill Stein, three percent.

The poll carries a 2.7 percent margin of error with a 95 percent level of confidence.

New Mexico (November 4, 2016) v1 (1) by Breitbart News on Scribd

Thirty-eight percent of New Mexico voters think the country is going in the right direction and 54 percent think the country is going in the wrong direction.

Thirty-nine percent want the next president to continue the policies of President Barack Obama and 54 percent want the next president to change his policies.

In the 2012 presidential race, President Obama beat Romney, 53 percent to 43 percent.

The New Mexico poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a Florida-based polling company, with a combination of interactive voice response polling and an internet panel of cell phone users. Results were weighted to match a proprietary turnout model.

Florida

Florida has been the most contested state of them all at least for this and the previous four presidential elections.

The Sunshine State is in constant play because of its contradicting demographical trends and its 29 electoral votes that are too many to ignore, roughly 11 percent of the total 270 votes in the Electoral College needed to win the White House.

In the Breitbart/Gravis poll of Florida conducted Nov. 1 and Nov. 2 with 1,220 registered voters in the state, Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump with 46 percent to 45 percent–a statistical tie well within the polls 2.8 percent margin of error that is carried with a 95 percent level of confidence.

Florida (November 3, 2016) v1 (1) by Breitbart News on Scribd

Libertarian Gary Johnson has the support four percent of the voters and Green Party nominee Dr. Jill Stein has the support of less than one percent.

In the state’s Senate race, Republican Sen. Marco Rubio stands at 47 percent of the vote with his challenger Democrat Rep. Patrick Murphy at 46 percent–another statistical tie.

President Obama won Florida in 2012 with 50 percent of the vote to 49 percent for his Republican adversary Mitt Romney. The margin in Florida was the closest in the 50 states and the District of Columbia and many news organizations waited another four days after the Nov. 6, 2012 Election Day to declare the President the winner. If Romney had won Florida, he would have still been 32 electoral votes short.

The Florida poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a Florida-based polling company, with a combination of interactive voice response polling and an internet panel of cell phone users. Results were weighted to match a proprietary turnout model.


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