Poll: Donald Trump Leads Joe Biden in Hypothetical 2024 Matchup

joe biden donald trump
Alex Wong/Getty Images, Inset: NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images, BNN Edit

Former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 matchup, an October Harris Poll/HarrisX survey revealed.

The survey asked voters, “If the 2024 election for President were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican and Joe Biden, the Democrat, who would you vote for?”

Overall, 45 percent said Trump, followed by 43 percent who said Biden, and 12 percent who remain unsure.

Trump — the clear leader of the hypothetical Republican primary, per the survey — also leads Vice President Kamala Harris in a hypothetical 2024 matchup, besting her by 11 percentage points, or 49 percent to 38 percent.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump gestures to the crowd as he walks to the podium for a campaign rally at Legacy Sports USA on October 09, 2022 in Mesa, Arizona. Trump was stumping for Arizona GOP candidates, including gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake, ahead of the midterm election on November 8. (Mario Tama/Getty Images)

Voters do not seem enthused about the prospect of Biden running again, as a majority, 55 percent, have “doubts” about his mental fitness. That includes 67 percent of independents, 83 percent of Republicans, and 22 percent of Democrats.

Further, the survey showed Trump’s January 2021 approval ratings on a variety of issues still besting Biden’s in October 2022.

For instance, 56 approved of Trump’s handling of the economy in January 2021, the month he left office. In October 2022, just 39 percent approve of Biden’s handling of the economy. That trend continues on several issues.

Stimulating Jobs
Trump January 2021: 58 percent approve
Biden October 2022: 46 percent approve

Fighting Terrorism
Trump January 2021: 55 percent approve
Biden October 2022: 44 percent approve

Immigration
Trump January 2021: 52 percent approve
Biden October 2022: 38 percent approve

Foreign Affairs
Trump January 2021: 52 percent approve
Biden October 2022: 41 percent approve

Administering the Government
Trump January 2021: 49 percent approve
Biden October 2022: 44 percent approve

The only issue Biden bests Trump in is reacting to the Chinese coronavirus, but even that lead is small, 51 percent to Trump’s 49 percent.

Further, just 39 percent approve of Biden’s handling of crime, and 35 percent approve of his handling of inflation.

The survey was taken October 12-13, 2022, among 2,010 registered voters. 

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