Poll: Donald Trump Holds Double-Digit Lead in Hypothetical 2024 Primary

PALM BEACH, FLORIDA - NOVEMBER 15: Former U.S. President Donald Trump arrives on stage during an event at his Mar-a-Lago home on November 15, 2022 in Palm Beach, Florida. Trump announced that he was seeking another term in office and officially launched his 2024 presidential campaign. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty …
Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Former President Donald Trump maintains a double-digit lead in a hypothetical 2024 Republican primary race, a recent Zogby Analytics survey found.

The survey found Trump leading Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R), in the hypothetical primary race by double digits, 47 percent to 28 percent. However, the survey also showed DeSantis’s support has increased exponentially since May, when he garnered 12 percent support. 

“Trump leads among most surveyed demographics, including all regions, especially the South (52%), urban voters (53%), younger voters aged 18-29 (58%), female voters (49%), non-college educated voters (53%), Hispanic voters (58%), Generation Z (62%), Millennial (56%) and Generation X voters (60%),” the survey found,  noting that DeSantis holds a two-point edge among independent voters.

Former Vice President Mike Pence placed third with eight percent support, and the remainder of potential candidates earned less than five percent support. 

However, when Trump is out of the scenario, DeSantis takes the strong double-digit lead with 48 percent support, followed by Pence with 21 percent. 

The survey was taken November 9-11, 2022, among 864 likely GOP primary voters. 

Despite the survey showing DeSantis taking the lead in a situation where Trump is absent, that scenario is unlikely to happen, given the fact that Trump formally announced his 2024 presidential campaign last month. 

Former President Donald Trump waves after announcing he is running for president for the third time at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Fla., Tuesday, Nov. 15, 2022. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)

Former President Donald Trump waves after announcing he is running for president for the third time at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, Tuesday, Nov. 15, 2022. (Andrew Harnik/AP)

During the speech, Trump described the years under Biden as a “time of pain, hardship, anxiety, and despair” as Americans struggle with rising prices and the influx of illegal immigration.

“We are here tonight to declare it does not have to be this way,” Trump said. “Two years ago we were a great nation and soon we will be a great nation again.”

“The decline being forced upon us by Biden and the radical left lunatics is driving us right here into the ground. This decline is not a fate we must accept. When given the choice boldly and clearly, I believe the American people will overwhelmingly reject the left’s path to national ruin and they will embrace our vision for national greatness and glory,” he added.

DeSantis, meanwhile, has shown no immediate signs of running in 2024, but the fact he has not overtly dismissed the speculation has prompted irritation from Trump, who accused the Florida governor of “playing games.” However, DeSantis has dismissed worries over a “civil war” between the two, refusing to respond to Trump and instead telling reporters who asked him about it that “people just need to chill out.”

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