California Primary - Page 5

The presidential campaigns of Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Ohio Gov. John Kasich made no mention of the California primary in announcing Sunday night that they have agreed to split several remaining states in the Republican primary in a joint effort to keep Donald Trump from winning the Republican nomination.

A new Fox News poll of likely California primary voters released late Friday shows Donald Trump leading the Republican field with with 49%, with Sen. Ted Cruz a distant second at 22%, and Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 20%.

Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) officially opened his first California primary office in Hollywood on Wednesday.

A new online poll of 1,165 Republicans in California shows businessman Donald Trump leading Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) 41 to 23 percent in the California primary.

California Political Review publisher and Donald Trump supporter James Lacy, and Sacramento-based anti-Trump consultant Rob Stutzman battled on CNN Tuesday over whether the polling data ahead of the Golden State’s June 7 primary favors Trump or his chief rival for the Republican presidential nomination, Sen. Ted. Cruz (R-TX).

With the California primary seven weeks away, the fate of the candidates lies in the hands of a small number of voters in key swing districts in places like the 27th congressional district in eastern Los Angeles.

Donald Trump’s resounding, poll-beating victory in the New York primary sets a clear precedent for the California primary: he is going to compete in the rural areas that Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) has dominated in the caucus states thus far in 2016.

If the California primary, scheduled for June 7, were held today, Republican frontrunner Donald Trump would likely win 106 delegates — 93 from congressional districts, plus 13 for winning statewide — while Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) would win 66.

California’s 15th district is one of the most important toss-ups among Republicans in the June 7th California primary. A quick look at the district map reveals the reason.

Democrats: The strength of unions, and the implicit class division between coastal and inland areas, favor Sanders slightly. Republicans: Trump will do well here among white working-class voters, military voters, and even traditional conservatives.

Democrats: The Democrats in San Diego are somewhat conservative, but the unions are strong, and will support Sanders. Republicans: Once again, the military vote will help Trump prevail in a competitive district that might otherwise lean Cruz.

Democrats: Clinton should do very well in this district, though a late surge in support for Sanders will also be visible.
Republicans: If Trump cannot win along the border where the “wall” is to be built, he may as well give up and go home.

A new YouGov/CBS poll shows Republican presidential frontrunner Donald Trump leading Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) by 18 points, 49-31, ahead of the upcoming California primary. Ohio governor John Kasich clocked in at 16 percent.

Democrats: Hillary Clinton will likely do well in this conservative district, though some Latino voters will support Sanders. Republicans: Trump will win easily in this district, and Hunter will continue to be a key California surrogate for him.

Democrats: Though San Diego is warm, this is one county where Democratic voters are unlikely to “feel the Bern.” Republicans: Cruz will keep the race tight — especially if Issa endorses him — but Trump’s military vote will prevail.

On Sunday morning — hours after hosting a $33,400-per-person fundraiser for Hillary Clinton — Hollywood star George Clooney blasted political fundraisers as “obscene” in an interview with Chuck Todd of NBC News’ Meet the Press.

Democrats: There are enough Sanders fans to score him a delegate or two, but Clinton will do better in the district. Republicans: Cruz will do very well in this district, while Trump is more likely to dominate inland Orange County.

Democrats: Clinton and Sanders will split this district, with Sanders doing surprisingly well in elite Catalina. Republicans: The fact that California’s Republican primary is “closed” will make the difference here for Cruz.

Democrats: The large number of Latino voters should give Clinton an edge over Sanders in this district. Republicans: This is an area of Orange County in which feelings about immigration will favor Trump over Cruz.

Democrats: Though Sanders will attract a few suburban socialists, the district’s Democrats will largely back Clinton. Republicans: Trump will have some support, but this area will remain prime organizing turf for the Cruz campaign.

Democrats: Though Sanders will enjoy some support, the large number of minority voters will give Clinton the win. Republicans: There are relatively few Republicans in this urbandistrict, and Trump will win most of their votes.

Democrats: There is fertile ground in this working-class area for both Clinton and Sanders to pick up delegates. Republicans: Trump will likely dominate among the district’s relatively small number of Republican primary voters.

Democrats: The conservative Democrats in this Republican-dominated district will back Clinton by wide margins. Republicans: Though the district’s demographic profile favors Cruz, Trump’s tough border stance will seal the win.

While radio hosts and political pundits in California speculate endlessly over the 2016 presidential primaries, the nitty-gritty battles are being fought in places like Shasta County, in the heart of the state’s first Congressional district.

Democrats: Clinton will do well among homeowners and Latino voters, though Sanders will be fairly competitive. Republicans: Cruz’s strong poll numbers in the county should carry the day ahead of a vigorous Trump turnout.

Much of the fifth district is rural and agricultural, which could benefit Cruz. Trump, however, is polling far ahead of Cruz in Bay Area districts and does well in more isolated portions of the area.

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has seen her once-formidable lead among Latino voters shrink among likely Democratic voters in the California primary, from 30 points in October to merely one point in early April.

Democrats: The area’s high Latino population, and homeowner/taxpayer mentality, makes it a big win for Clinton. Republicans: Outrage at illegal immigration and corruption will fuel Trump, despite weaker appeal among Latinos.

Trump’s strongest support comes from Californians who feel ignored by the system and betrayed by the GOP. They no longer have faith in political parties or ideological movements.

Democrats: Though not a total shutout for Sanders, this area’s Democrats have little interest in electing a socialist. Republicans: One of the easiest Cruz wins in the state — though racking up votes here won’t help him elsewhere.

Democrats: Clinton will dominate among the minority voters and middle-class homeowners of the district. Republicans: This district will see another hard-fought battle between Trump and Cruz — and Cruz will likely win.

Democrats: This is an important opportunity for Sanders, who enjoys wide support in the area, to rack up delegates. Republicans: Cruz’s campaigning in the district is admirable, but probably not enough to overcome Trump’s support.

As Republican campaigns scramble to assembly delegate lists by May 8, Democrats on Wednesday passed the first of several key deadlines in the delegate selection process before the California primary. Those Democrats interested in representing their congressional district at the Democratic National Convention July 25-28 in Philadelphia — some 317 (58%) of the party’s 548 delegates from California had to file a form by Wednesday.

Democrats: This is moderate, Clinton country, despite the occasional invasion by Medea Benjamin and the far-left. Republicans: This is the kind of district where Republicans know their vote matters. Cruz will win narrowly.

Democrats: The hipster math, plus the academic crowd and the union-dominated core favor Sanders over Clinton. Republicans: Cruz have a presence, but Trump should win the district’s frustrated Republicans by a large margin.

Democrats: Clinton will have the edge, though Sanders will run very close and capture the core of the district.
Republicans: This is a swing district between Trump and Cruz, though Cruz will pull off a newsworthy victory.