Last night, in the cold and with long lines, 30,000 people showed up in Ohio to see Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan. That same day, Obama attracted a meager 2,800. But enthusiasm for President FailureTeleprompter can be judged by more than comparisons with Romney. In 2008, at his last stop in Cleveland, a Democrat stronghold, Obama attracted 80,000 people. This morning, at his last 2012 stop in that same city, Obama could only attract 4,000.
Team Obama will spin, as they have throughout the campaign, and tell their stenographers in the Corrupt Media that they've intentionally chosen smaller, more personal venues. But does anyone honestly believe that if President WaterParter could attract crowds even half as large as the ones we saw in 2008, he wouldn't?
Besides, even if that was the case, in that exact same Cleveland venue, according to the RNC, McCain was able to attract a bigger crowd in 2008 than Obama did yesterday [added: confirmed]. Yes, that's correct, Obama's attracting crowds smaller than John McCain did in 2008 but the polls are telling us he's going to best or beat his D+5 2008 turnout advantage.
Yesterday, CNN's John King noted that in comparison to 2008, the Romney campaign's ground game and the verifiable enthusiasm King's seeing, give Romney a real chance to take the state:
And this is why we can't believe that fire hose of Ohio polls being turned on us. Nothing in those polls sense any enthusiasm for Romney. Most show Obama will best or beat his 2008 turnout advantage, which no one believes.
Furthermore, many of those polls claim that 30-40% of people have already voted, when the hard count shows that number closer to 22%. Moreover, hard counts comparing early voting in pro-Obama and pro-Romney counties show the GOP in much better shape than it was in 2008.
In 2008, Obama only won Ohio by 4.6%.
The race is going to be close, no question, but these polls are all modeled to give Obama an enthusiasm advantage no one is seeing with their lying eyes. It's all about turnout now, about winning outside the Margin Of Media.
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