Mike Flynn

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Polling 2016 Like Its 1999, or 2007

With the 2014 midterm elections behind us, pollsters and pundits have turned their attention to the 2016 presidential election. Quinnipiac and Rasmussen have released new national polls of the nomination contests, while Bloomberg has surveyed the New Hampshire primary. Polls at this stage feed a political crack-habit for pundits, but they are likely to bear little resemblance to the actual contest in two years. Nov 26, 2014 9:54 AM PT

Poll: US Post Office Top Rated Federal Agency

A Gallup survey finds 72% of Americans give the US Post Office "good" or "excellent" marks for its service. By a wide margin, the Post Office is viewed more favorably than any other federal agency surveyed by Gallup. Nov 24, 2014 9:36 PM PT

Study: Women Pay Themselves Less Than Men

As it picks through the rubble of the midterm elections, one of the bigger challenges for the Democrat party is recognizing not so much that its policies are perhaps too left-wing for the public, but that they are largely irrelevant. It turns out that, even on issues voters care about, real life does not reflect the simple, sound-bite world inhabited by most Democrat politicians. This fact is evidenced by a new study which finds that even when women are in charge of compensation decisions, they tend to pay themselves less than men. Nov 18, 2014 7:27 AM PT

The Left's Destruction of the Democrat Party

President Obama says he intends to act quickly to offer executive amnesty to illegal immigrants, and aides say that move could come as soon as this week. This need for haste may be due to his party growing weaker with each passing election. Nov 17, 2014 10:38 AM PT

2014: 'Gender Gap' Is Still a Myth

As exit polling again made clear in the 2014 midterm elections, there is no real "gender gap" in Americans' voting. Many candidates experienced shock when votes were counted, as they had centered their campaigns around the belief that there is. Nov 11, 2014 12:19 PM PT

2014 Midterm Elections: GOP Landslide Wasn't Quirk of Turnout

It does not take long to count every vote, but it can take a few days to sort through complex information about election returns. Here's what we've learned: the electorate who voted last Tuesday was much closer to the one who voted in 2012 than it was to the one who took part in the 2010 midterms. Nov 10, 2014 1:07 PM PT

Clinton Revival Show Already Looking Stale

It's a plot device in hundreds of "coming of age" stories. At a low point, a group of scrappy friends decide to "get the band back together" and ride a wave of nostalgia and personal growth to a happy, meaningful ending. As Democrats recover from their historic rout on Tuesday, they can be forgiven for longing to rev up the Clinton machine and dream of new triumph in 2016. Nov 5, 2014 9:49 PM PT

T Minus 1: GOP Has Clear Path to Senate Majority

On Tuesday, voters across the country will go to the polls for this last national election of the "Obama Era." What began with a bang six years ago and talk of a permanent Democrat majority will end with a whimper. The GOP is certain to solidify its enormous recent gains at the state level and extend its majority in the House. It is also increasingly likely that Republicans finally will take control of the Senate and end Harry Reid's tenure as Majority Leader. Nov 4, 2014 10:49 AM PT

T Minus 2: Clintons Reclaim Democrat Party Leadership

Two weeks ago, President Obama attended a rally for Maryland Governor candidate Anthony Brown. His appearance in Maryland, a state he won by 25 points in 2012, was his first campaign rally of the 2014 election. At the time, Brown was leading his Republican opponent by around 10 points. Since then, however, the polls have tightened. On Friday, Cook Political Report changed its rating of the race to "toss up." Such is the "Obama Challenge" this year for Democrats. Nov 2, 2014 2:33 PM PT

T Minus 3: Joni Ernst Storms to 7 Point Lead in Iowa

On Saturday, the Des Moines Register released its final poll of the critical Senate race, showing Republican Joni Ernst with a commanding seven-point lead over Democrat Rep. Bruce Braley. Nov 1, 2014 6:50 PM PT

T Minus 4: HuffPo Predicts GOP Senate

The liberal Huffington Post is entering the final weekend of the 2014 campaign predicting that Republicans will pick up enough seats to claim control of the Senate. Even discounting some races that have lately trended towards the GOP, HuffPo says that the odds of Republicans taking the majority are 69%. According to the HuffPo pollster, Democrats would have to pull the equivalent of an inside straight to keep Sen. Harry Reid as Majority Leader. Oct 31, 2014 4:29 PM PT

T Minus 4: GOP Fights to Escape 'Margin of Fraud'

With less than a week until the midterm elections, Republicans maintain pole-position in enough races to gain control of the Senate. They hold slim leads in a number of high-profile governor races and are within striking distance of capturing the top office in a handful of deep-blue states. With just days to go until the 2014 election hits the history books a question is nagging Republicans and conservatives: Are we outside the margin of fraud? Oct 30, 2014 6:14 PM PT

Dem Rep. Bustos Staff: 'Urban' Voters Spend More Time 'in Jail than Church'

On Monday, disturbing audio of a conversation between staff at a district office of Illinois Congresswoman Cheri Bustos and a constituent was released to the press. The constituent was asking the House staffer about an issue in Rockford and Peoria, Illinois cities which are partly represented by Rep. Bustos. The staffer described Rockford as "very urban" and "very underprivileged." She said constituents there spent their time "more in jail than church." Oct 27, 2014 10:48 AM PT

T Minus 8: GOP Expands Battle for Statehouses

While most national attention is focused on the battle for the US Senate, voters in 36 states will elect Governors on November 4th. The Obama Era has witnessed a resurgence of Republicans in state elections. This year, the GOP looks to solidify most of those gains. The party is also making surprisingly competitive runs in a handful of deep-blue states. No matter the national outcome, Obama's true legacy may be a Republican party better positioned for the future. Oct 27, 2014 8:48 AM PT

T Minus 11: Dems Struggling to Escape Obama

A top Democrat pollster summed up the challenge facing Democrats in the election just over a week away. “I think Obama being so unpopular is the biggest factor in this election,” Tom Jensen, a pollster with the left-leaning firm Public Policy Polling said. “And I think at the end of the day, it may be too much for a lot of the Democratic Senate candidates to overcome.” Oct 24, 2014 12:06 PM PT


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