Editor’s note: The presidential nominating contests in both parties will come down to the California primary.
For Democrats, 548 delegates are at stake — 11.5% of the total. For Republicans, 172 delegates are at stage — 6.9% of the total. Of those, for Democrats, 158 (29%) are divided proportionally on a statewide basis, while 317 (58%) are divided proportionally by congressional district, with each district providing between 5 and 8 delegates. The remaining 73 (13%) are “superdelegates.”
For Republicans, 13 (8%) are awarded statewide, with ten going to the candidate with the highest number of votes on a winner-take-all basis, and three going to “pre-determined” delegates (the State Chair, National Committeewoman, National Committeeman). Meanwhile, 159 (92%) are awarded by congressional district on a winner-take-all basis, with each district providing 3 delegates.
The result: a district-by-district battle in both parties, which we preview for you here.
CA-41: This suburban Inland Empire district seems as if it ought to be more competitive between the parties than it is, but it is a safe Democratic seat, represented by former teacher and liberal Democrat Mark Takano, who increased his share of the vote in 2014 (and could split his three Republican opponents in the June “jungle” primary). Home to the county seat of Riverside, and the area’s best skydiving, the district is also a majority Latino district.
Democrats: Clinton will do well among homeowners and Latino voters, though Sanders will be fairly competitive.
Clinton 3, Sanders 2
Republicans: Cruz’s strong poll numbers in the county should carry the day ahead of a vigorous Trump turnout.
Cruz 3, Trump 0, Kasich 0
Joel B. Pollak is Senior Editor-at-Large at Breitbart News. His new e-book, Leadership Secrets of the Kings and Prophets: What the Bible’s Struggles Teach Us About Today, is on sale through Amazon Kindle Direct. Follow him on Twitter at @joelpollak.