Scoreboard: All 128 FBS Teams vs. Projections

Scoreboard: All 128 FBS Teams vs. Projections

Below are the final scoring margins vs. the projected margins for each FBS team. A separate post totals these by conference to update the conference ratings. East Carolina’s 70-41 win over North Carolina puts them in the driver’s seat to be the top champion from the five non-Power Conferences, as they helped push the American Athletic into sixth. However, there is now a huge gap between them and the Power 5 due to the Big Ten’s 12-1 mark detailed below: 

Rank Teams by Conference Pred Marg Actual Chance  1=win Opponent
53 Cincinnati 25 7 99% 1 Miami OH
111 Connecticut -3 -3 41%   South Florida
34 East Carolina 8 25 65% 1 North Carolina
66 Houston 18 25 90% 1 UNLV
84 Memphis -3 19 44% 1 MTSU
96 SMU -25 -25 6%   Texas A&M
112 South Florida 3 3 59% 1 Connecticut
73 Temple 25 25 100% 1 Delaware St
91 Tulane -22 -25 9%   Duke
93 Tulsa 0   0%    
55 UCF 24 25 98% 1 Bethune-Cookman
  AAC Margin, Wins 50 76 6.1 7  
             
31 Boston College 25 25 98% 1 Maine
17 Clemson -20 -1 21%   Florida St
37 Duke 22 25 91% 1 Tulane
1 Florida St 20 1 79% 1 Clemson
43 Georgia Tech -7 3 35% 1 Virginia Tech
18 Louisville 25 25 92% 1 Florida Intl
33 Miami FL -2 -10 47%   Nebraska
59 NC State 25 25 100% 1 Presbyterian
45 North Carolina -8 -25 35%   East Carolina
24 Pittsburgh 21 -4 92%   Iowa
39 Syracuse 12 -14 82%   Maryland
42 Virginia -12 -8 28%   BYU
23 Virginia Tech 7 -3 65%   Georgia Tech
103 Wake Forest 4 3 62% 1 Army
  ACC Margin, Wins 112 42 9.3 7  
Rnk Team Proj Actual %W Win Opponent
87 Illinois 13 7 79% 1 Texas St
67 Indiana -25 4 8% 1 Missouri
76 Iowa -21 4 8% 1 Pittsburgh
63 Maryland -12 14 18% 1 Syracuse
71 Michigan -6 -16 36%   Utah
16 Michigan St 25 25 100% 1 E Michigan
75 Minnesota 4 17 60% 1 San Jose St
36 Nebraska 2 10 53% 1 Miami FL
100 Northwestern 11 17 84% 1 W Illinois
28 Ohio St 0   0%    
58 Penn St 25 25 97% 1 Massachusetts
118 Purdue -11 25 20% 1 S Illinois
81 Rutgers -16 7 17% 1 Navy
25 Wisconsin 21 25 98% 1 Bowling Green
  Big Ten Margin, Wins 10 164 6.8 12  
             
13 Baylor 0   0%    
56 Iowa St 0   0%    
107 Kansas 5 14 63% 1 C Michigan
27 Kansas St -14 -6 21%   Auburn
2 Oklahoma 15 12 74% 1 West Virginia
7 Oklahoma St 0   0%    
22 TCU 0   0%    
35 Texas 0   0%    
68 Texas Tech 0   0%    
41 West Virginia -15 -12 26%   Oklahoma
  Big 12 Margin, Wins (9) 8 1.8 2  
             
79 FL Atlantic 8 -1 68%   Wyoming
97 Florida Intl -25 -25 8%   Louisville
40 Louisiana Tech 25 -3 97%   Northwestern LA
50 Marshall 20 25 84% 1 Akron
61 Middle Tenn St 3 -19 56%   Memphis
60 North Texas 25 25 100% 1 Nicholls St
94 Old Dominion -13 3 29% 1 Rice
74 Rice 13 -3 71%   Old Dominion
119 Southern Miss 7 1 65% 1 Appalachian St
62 UAB 0   0%    
51 UT San Antonio 0   0%    
77 UTEP 0   0%    
57 W Kentucky 0   0%    
  CUSA Margin, Wins 63 3 5.8 4  
             
90 Army -4 -3 38%   Wake Forest
21 BYU 12 8 72% 1 Virginia
47 Navy 16 -7 83%   Rutgers
14 Notre Dame 0   0%    
  Ind Margin, Wins 24.1 (2.0) 1.9 1.0  
             
110 Akron -20 -25 16%   Marshall
89 Ball St -1 -18 49%   Toledo
92 Bowling Green -21 -25 2%   Wisconsin
122 Buffalo 21 25 98% 1 Norfolk St
102 C Michigan -5 -14 37%   Kansas
124 E Michigan -25 -25 0%   Michigan St
123 Kent 0   0%    
117 Massachusetts -25 -25 3%   Penn St
128 Miami OH -25 -7 1%   Cincinnati
64 N Illinois -15 -25 21%   Arkansas
108 Ohio 19 12 86% 1 Idaho
101 Toledo 1 18 51% 1 Ball St
121 W Michigan 7 25 65% 1 Murray St
  MAC Margin, Wins (88) (84) 4.3 4  
             
99 Air Force 0   0%    
54 Boise St 24 25 94% 1 ULL
80 Colorado St 0   0%    
85 Fresno St 22 25 91% 1 Southern Utah
78 Hawaii -1 -9 49%   Colorado
65 Nevada 0   0%    
116 New Mexico -5 3 40% 1 New Mexico St
69 San Diego St -10 -21 28%   Oregon St
72 San Jose St -4 -17 40%   Minnesota
106 UNLV -18 -25 10%   Houston
82 Utah St -1 -1 47%   Arkansas St
105 Wyoming -8 1 32% 1 FL Atlantic
  MWC Margin, Wins (0) (19) 4.3 4  
             
48 Arizona 12 4 74% 1 California
30 Arizona St 0   0%    
70 California -12 -4 26%   Arizona
95 Colorado 1 9 51% 1 Hawaii
6 Oregon 25 7 93% 1 Washington St
52 Oregon St 10 21 72% 1 San Diego St
15 Stanford 0   0%    
38 UCLA 0   0%    
19 USC 0   0%    
44 Utah 6 16 64% 1 Michigan
26 Washington 25 25 100% 1 Georgia St
83 Washington St -25 -7 7%   Oregon
  Pac-12 Margin, Wins 42 71 4.9 6  
             
126 Appalachian St -7 -1 35%   Southern Miss
86 Arkansas St 1 1 53% 1 Utah St
113 Ga Southern -9 22 28% 1 South Alabama
127 Georgia St -25 -25 0%   Washington
125 Idaho -19 -12 14%   Ohio
114 New Mexico St 5 -3 60%   New Mexico
98 South Alabama 9 -22 72%   Ga Southern
115 Texas St -13 -7 21%   Illinois
120 Troy -25 -25 0%   Georgia
109 ULL -24 -25 6%   Boise St
104 ULM 0   0%    
  SBC Margin, Wins (107) (97) 2.9 2  
             
3 Alabama 24 21 99% 1 Florida
32 Arkansas 15 25 79% 1 N Illinois
5 Auburn 14 6 79% 1 Kansas St
49 Florida -24 -21 1%   Alabama
11 Georgia 25 25 100% 1 Troy
46 Kentucky 0   0%    
8 LSU 13 -5 79%   Mississippi St
9 Mississippi 0   0%    
20 Mississippi St -13 5 21% 1 LSU
4 Missouri 25 -4 92%   Indiana
12 South Carolina 21 14 95% 1 Vanderbilt
29 Tennessee 0   0%    
10 Texas A&M 25 25 94% 1 SMU
88 Vanderbilt -21 -14 5%   South Carolina
  SEC Margin, Wins 51 25 4.9 4


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