Scoreboard: All 128 FBS Teams vs. Projections

Below are the final scoring margins vs. the projected margins for each FBS team. A separate post totals these by conference to update the conference ratings. East Carolina’s 70-41 win over North Carolina puts them in the driver’s seat to be the top champion from the five non-Power Conferences, as they helped push the American Athletic into sixth. However, there is now a huge gap between them and the Power 5 due to the Big Ten’s 12-1 mark detailed below: 

Rank	Teams by Conference	Pred Marg	Actual	Chance	1=win	Opponent
53	Cincinnati	25	7	99%	1	Miami OH
111	Connecticut	-3	-3	41%		South Florida
34	East Carolina	8	25	65%	1	North Carolina
66	Houston	18	25	90%	1	UNLV
84	Memphis	-3	19	44%	1	MTSU
96	SMU	-25	-25	6%		Texas A&M
112	South Florida	3	3	59%	1	Connecticut
73	Temple	25	25	100%	1	Delaware St
91	Tulane	-22	-25	9%		Duke
93	Tulsa	0		0%
55	UCF	24	25	98%	1	Bethune-Cookman
	AAC Margin, Wins	50	76	6.1	7
31	Boston College	25	25	98%	1	Maine
17	Clemson	-20	-1	21%		Florida St
37	Duke	22	25	91%	1	Tulane
1	Florida St	20	1	79%	1	Clemson
43	Georgia Tech	-7	3	35%	1	Virginia Tech
18	Louisville	25	25	92%	1	Florida Intl
33	Miami FL	-2	-10	47%		Nebraska
59	NC State	25	25	100%	1	Presbyterian
45	North Carolina	-8	-25	35%		East Carolina
24	Pittsburgh	21	-4	92%		Iowa
39	Syracuse	12	-14	82%		Maryland
42	Virginia	-12	-8	28%		BYU
23	Virginia Tech	7	-3	65%		Georgia Tech
103	Wake Forest	4	3	62%	1	Army
	ACC Margin, Wins	112	42	9.3	7
Rnk	Team	Proj	Actual	%W	Win	Opponent
87	Illinois	13	7	79%	1	Texas St
67	Indiana	-25	4	8%	1	Missouri
76	Iowa	-21	4	8%	1	Pittsburgh
63	Maryland	-12	14	18%	1	Syracuse
71	Michigan	-6	-16	36%		Utah
16	Michigan St	25	25	100%	1	E Michigan
75	Minnesota	4	17	60%	1	San Jose St
36	Nebraska	2	10	53%	1	Miami FL
100	Northwestern	11	17	84%	1	W Illinois
28	Ohio St	0		0%
58	Penn St	25	25	97%	1	Massachusetts
118	Purdue	-11	25	20%	1	S Illinois
81	Rutgers	-16	7	17%	1	Navy
25	Wisconsin	21	25	98%	1	Bowling Green
	Big Ten Margin, Wins	10	164	6.8	12
13	Baylor	0		0%
56	Iowa St	0		0%
107	Kansas	5	14	63%	1	C Michigan
27	Kansas St	-14	-6	21%		Auburn
2	Oklahoma	15	12	74%	1	West Virginia
7	Oklahoma St	0		0%
22	TCU	0		0%
35	Texas	0		0%
68	Texas Tech	0		0%
41	West Virginia	-15	-12	26%		Oklahoma
	Big 12 Margin, Wins	(9)	8	1.8	2
79	FL Atlantic	8	-1	68%		Wyoming
97	Florida Intl	-25	-25	8%		Louisville
40	Louisiana Tech	25	-3	97%		Northwestern LA
50	Marshall	20	25	84%	1	Akron
61	Middle Tenn St	3	-19	56%		Memphis
60	North Texas	25	25	100%	1	Nicholls St
94	Old Dominion	-13	3	29%	1	Rice
74	Rice	13	-3	71%		Old Dominion
119	Southern Miss	7	1	65%	1	Appalachian St
62	UAB	0		0%
51	UT San Antonio	0		0%
77	UTEP	0		0%
57	W Kentucky	0		0%
	CUSA Margin, Wins	63	3	5.8	4
90	Army	-4	-3	38%		Wake Forest
21	BYU	12	8	72%	1	Virginia
47	Navy	16	-7	83%		Rutgers
14	Notre Dame	0		0%
	Ind Margin, Wins	24.1	(2.0)	1.9	1.0
110	Akron	-20	-25	16%		Marshall
89	Ball St	-1	-18	49%		Toledo
92	Bowling Green	-21	-25	2%		Wisconsin
122	Buffalo	21	25	98%	1	Norfolk St
102	C Michigan	-5	-14	37%		Kansas
124	E Michigan	-25	-25	0%		Michigan St
123	Kent	0		0%
117	Massachusetts	-25	-25	3%		Penn St
128	Miami OH	-25	-7	1%		Cincinnati
64	N Illinois	-15	-25	21%		Arkansas
108	Ohio	19	12	86%	1	Idaho
101	Toledo	1	18	51%	1	Ball St
121	W Michigan	7	25	65%	1	Murray St
	MAC Margin, Wins	(88)	(84)	4.3	4
99	Air Force	0		0%
54	Boise St	24	25	94%	1	ULL
80	Colorado St	0		0%
85	Fresno St	22	25	91%	1	Southern Utah
78	Hawaii	-1	-9	49%		Colorado
65	Nevada	0		0%
116	New Mexico	-5	3	40%	1	New Mexico St
69	San Diego St	-10	-21	28%		Oregon St
72	San Jose St	-4	-17	40%		Minnesota
106	UNLV	-18	-25	10%		Houston
82	Utah St	-1	-1	47%		Arkansas St
105	Wyoming	-8	1	32%	1	FL Atlantic
	MWC Margin, Wins	(0)	(19)	4.3	4
48	Arizona	12	4	74%	1	California
30	Arizona St	0		0%
70	California	-12	-4	26%		Arizona
95	Colorado	1	9	51%	1	Hawaii
6	Oregon	25	7	93%	1	Washington St
52	Oregon St	10	21	72%	1	San Diego St
15	Stanford	0		0%
38	UCLA	0		0%
19	USC	0		0%
44	Utah	6	16	64%	1	Michigan
26	Washington	25	25	100%	1	Georgia St
83	Washington St	-25	-7	7%		Oregon
	Pac-12 Margin, Wins	42	71	4.9	6
126	Appalachian St	-7	-1	35%		Southern Miss
86	Arkansas St	1	1	53%	1	Utah St
113	Ga Southern	-9	22	28%	1	South Alabama
127	Georgia St	-25	-25	0%		Washington
125	Idaho	-19	-12	14%		Ohio
114	New Mexico St	5	-3	60%		New Mexico
98	South Alabama	9	-22	72%		Ga Southern
115	Texas St	-13	-7	21%		Illinois
120	Troy	-25	-25	0%		Georgia
109	ULL	-24	-25	6%		Boise St
104	ULM	0		0%
	SBC Margin, Wins	(107)	(97)	2.9	2
3	Alabama	24	21	99%	1	Florida
32	Arkansas	15	25	79%	1	N Illinois
5	Auburn	14	6	79%	1	Kansas St
49	Florida	-24	-21	1%		Alabama
11	Georgia	25	25	100%	1	Troy
46	Kentucky	0		0%
8	LSU	13	-5	79%		Mississippi St
9	Mississippi	0		0%
20	Mississippi St	-13	5	21%	1	LSU
4	Missouri	25	-4	92%		Indiana
12	South Carolina	21	14	95%	1	Vanderbilt
29	Tennessee	0		0%
10	Texas A&M	25	25	94%	1	SMU
88	Vanderbilt	-21	-14	5%		South Carolina
	SEC Margin, Wins	51	25	4.9	4