John Pudner

John Pudner

John Pudner wrote his first statistical analysis for the New York Post more than 20 years ago, ranking pitchers on opposite Sundays from when Bill James ranked batters, and he was named as the top sports news writer in his newspaper class in Virginia by the Virginia Press Association. 

Since then he has run more than 200 political campaigns for candidates or ballot issues while continuing to write statistical analysis for sports and developing a database of thousands of basketball players at www.valueaddbasketball.com and writing for www.crackedsidewalks.com. He met with and advised several NBA teams to advice on the future performance of potential draft picks this year. His work for the Alabama Farmers Federation in 2010 included helping to coordinating door-to-door efforts that reached the homes of 170,000 voters, and his more recent statistical work was featured by CNN/Sports Illustrated.


Latest News

Value Add Predictor: Pac-12 Has Best All-Conference Team

Computers rank the Big Ten as the best basketball conference from top to bottom. However, if each conference had to put their Top 10 players on the court for a game, the Value Add Predictor gives the Pac-12 an 83-74 win over the best players in the Big Ten. UCLA's Jordan Adams (pictured) gets the better of his counterpart Ben Brust of Wisconsin in the semifinal and then the Pac12 gets past the American Athletic Conference All-Stars 76-73. The box scores of mock games between all 32 All-Conference teams are contained below and in separate posts. Jan 4, 2014 10:35 AM PT

Mock Tournament Sweet 16: SEC Beats MAC (Big East, MVC eliminated)

Sweet 16: SEC needs bench to beat MAC (Big East, MVC eliminated) In New York, the Mid American’s top five players went toe-to-toe with the SEC for a 41-41 tie due to double digit outings for Karrington Ward (Eastern Michigan) and Richaun Holmes (Bowling Green). However, the SEC’s second team of Chris Denson (Auburn), Jordan Clarkson (Missouri), Michael Frazier (Florida), Algie Key (Alabama) and Aaron Harrison (Kentucky) dominated each of their counterparts for a 78-68 win. The Elite 8 match-up was set up with the 14-seed MAC pulled the upset of the tournament over the 3-seed Big East 72-70 behind Ohio center Maurice Ndour, who beat his counterpart 9-5. Jan 3, 2014 3:55 PM PT

Mock Tournament Sweet 16: American beats Big 12 (MAAC, MWC eliminated)

In Memphis, the Cincinnati duo of Sean Kilpatrick and Justin Jackson dominated their Big 12 counterparts to lead the American Athletic Conference to a 75-66 win. The Oklahoma State duo of Marcus Smart (outdueled Louisville’s Russ Smith) and Markel Brown (team-high 10 points) did their part, but it was not enough as the American had a much easier time than they did in their previous one-point win over the MWC. The Elite 8 game was set up by the best showdown of the tournament, as the American won a 73-72 Sweet 16 victory over a great MWC team on the basis of Shabazz Napier (UConn shooting guard) and Shaq Goodwin (Memphis center). Jan 3, 2014 3:13 PM PT

Mock Tournament Sweet 16: Pac-12 beats ACC in OT (SB, Horizon eliminated)

In Anaheim, the Pac12 pulled out the only overtime game of the tournament with an 86-85 win over the ACC. UCLA’s Jordan Adams and Utah’s Delon Wright gave the Pac12 a big edge in the starting backcourt, and Arizona State’s Jordan Bachynski outdueled freshman phenom Jabari Parker (Duke) to offset the ACC’s edge on the starting front court. Jan 3, 2014 2:57 PM PT

Mock Tournament Sweet 16: Big Ten beats WCC (CUSA, A10 eliminated)

In Indianapolis, shooting guard Kevin Pangos has a game-high 14 points to lead the WCC, but the more balanced Big Ten prevailed 87-82 behind the defense of Aaron Craft (Ohio State) and double digit scoring from their other four starters - Ben Brust (Wisconsin), Rayvonte Rice (Illinois), Adreian Payne (Michigan St.) and Frank Kaminsky (Wisconsin). The Elite 8 showdown was set up when the Big Ten beat Conference USA 74-59 behind a dominant performance by Wisconsin Center Frank Kaminsky, who outscored his counterpart 11-5. The 9-seed WCC then pulled a minor upset 79-77 over the A10 with backup center Thomas van der Mars (Portland) providing the difference by outscoring his counterpart Juvonte Reddic (VCU) off the bench 9-5 to provide the winning margin. Jan 3, 2014 2:44 PM PT

Mock Tournament Round 1: SEC 78, Big South 66 and MVC 79, WAC 56

In Orlando, Kentucky’s Willie Cauley-Stein held his counterpart to only two points and Trevor Releford (Alabama) and Casey Prather (Florida) both scored in double figures to give the 6-seed SEC at 78-66 win over the Big South. They will travel to New York to face the 11-seed Missouri Valley, which powered past the WAC 79-56 due to dominant performances by Wichita State’s duo of Fred Van Vleet (shooting guard) and Ron Baker (power forward). Jan 3, 2014 2:37 PM PT

Mock Tournament Round 1: Big East 70, Southland 68 and MAC 74, BW 66

In Buffalo, opposing power forwards Doug McDermott (Creighton) and Jacob Parker (Stephen F. Austin) both led their teams in scoring as the 3-seed Big East barely survived a challenge from the 30-seed Southland 70-68. Despite the low rating for the conference, Stephen F. Austin ranks as the 86th best team in the country at www.kenpom.com behind the trio of Parker, Jabari Peters and Thomas Walkup. The Big East will travel to New York to play the 14-seed MAC, which beat the Big West 74-66 behind Eastern Michigan center Glenn Bryant allowing his counterpart Christian Standhardinger of Hawaii only four points. Jan 3, 2014 2:02 PM PT

Mock Tournament Round 1: American Athletic 75, Big Sky 57 and Mountain tops Valley 86-70

RIn St. Louis, UConn shooting guard Shabazz Napier, Cincinnati small forward Sean Kilpatrick and Memphis center Shaq Goodwin dominated their three positions to help the 7-seed American Athletic beat an otherwise very tough Big Sky team. They will stay close to home, travelling to Memphis to battle the 10-seed Mountain West. New Mexico small forward Kendall Williams (13 points) led all five MWC starters in double figures. Jan 3, 2014 1:52 PM PT

Mock Tournament Round 1: Big12 80, MEAC 58 and MAAC 78, Sum 72

In San Antonio, Oklahoma St. Point Guard Marcus Smart held his counterpart to only three points, while Smart’s teammate Markel Brown won the battle at small forward with 12 points. The 2-seed Big 12 beat the MEAC 80-58 to advance to Memphis to play the 15-seed MAAC. The MAAC survived a very evenly matched game with the Summit League due mainly to Canisius center Jordan Heath winning the battle at center 12-7. Jan 3, 2014 1:44 PM PT

Mock Tournament Round 1: Pac-12 89, Southern 65 and Horizon 75, Patriot 67

In San Diego, the 5-seed Pac12 rolled to the second biggest win in any Round 1 game, as surprise newcomer Delon Wright (Utah point guard) joined the four better-known starters in double figures. They will travel to Anaheim to meet the 12-seed Horizon League, which held off the Patriot League despite a dominant 14-point performance by Colgate Power Forward Austin Tillotson. Jan 3, 2014 1:36 PM PT

Mock Tournament Round 1: ACC 95, American East 56 and Sun Belt 84, Ivy 72

In Raleigh, the 4-seed ACC registered by far the most lopsided victory of the opening round with a 95-56 win over the American East. The ACC will advance to Anaheim to play the 20-seed Sun Belt, which stunned the Ivy League behind Texas Arlington small forward Brandon Edwards, who scored more than any other player in the Round 1 games. Each ACC All-Conference player bested their counterpart, with the only close battle occurring in the small forward showdown between Stony Brook’s Jameel Warney and Jerian Grant, who accumulated enough value prior to leaving Notre Dame’s program to be one of the top five in the conference. Jan 3, 2014 1:26 PM PT

Mock Tournament Round 1: A10 74, ASun 57 and WCC 93, NEC 71

In Spokane, Nine of 10 Atlantic 10 players bested their counterparts from the Atlantic Sun, with UMass Center Cady Lalane outscoring Mercer’s Daniel Coursey 10-4 in an easy 74-57 win. The 8-seed A10 team advances to Indianapolis to play the 9-seed WCC which dominated the NEC 93-71. The combination of St. Mary’s and Gonzaga stars overcame a strong showing by a duo of stars from Robert Morris, which stunned Kentucky last season. Gonzaga shooting guard Kevin Pangos was the high scorer from all 16 first round games. Jan 3, 2014 1:20 PM PT

Mock Tournament Round 1: Big Ten 81, SWAC 64 and CUSA 62, CAA 60

In Milwaukee, Wisconsin center Frank Kaminsky of Wisconsin was too much for Texas Southern’s Aaric Murray as the 1-seed Big Ten All-Conference team beat the 32-seed SWAC team 81-64. The Big Ten will advance to Indianapolis to play the 17-seed Conference USA, which pulled off a minor upset of 16-seed CAA 62-60 behind 10-points from shooting guard Tymell Murphy. Jan 3, 2014 1:07 PM PT

Value Add: Calculating Each Player's Impact on Point Spread

The two most common questions I receive when updating ratings for college basketball players regard: 1) Sports Information Directors who want to explain the value of their star player and 2) people who want to understand how much the absence of a key players should impact the point spread of an upcoming game. While ESPN and CNN/SI have done a great job of explaining Value Add Basketball, the basic explanation is that a player’s Value Add Rating equals how much the point spread would change if he misses a game. Jan 2, 2014 7:08 AM PT

Fox Sports 1 Big East College Hoops Marathon: Top 25 Players

Big East fans have the chance to see every Big East player Tuesday during a Fox Sports Noon to Midnight Marathon day. The nightcap features pre-season favorite Marquette visiting National Player of the Year candidate and top Value Add offensive player Doug McDermott at 10 p.m. As the top 25 player rankings below show, the defense of Georgetown and D'Vauntes Smith-Rivera give him a slight overall edge in the Value Add rankings. Dec 31, 2013 8:44 AM PT

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