Sabato on CA Dem Primary: Can’t Trust Polls — ‘This Really Is a Competitive Race’

Thursday on Fox News Channel’s “America’s Newsroom,” University of Virginia’s Center for Politics director Larry Sabato warned about giving too much credence to polls in California showing a big win for Hillary Clinton over Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT).

Sabato said he has a model that is not reliant on polls and show the contest to be much closer.

“We have a model that doesn’t depend on polls, we have a separate election model that uses other variables to determine the results and oddly, this is very rare — it shows Clinton winning by two, which is exactly what most of the recent polls show,” Sabato said. “We all remember Michigan this year, where every poll showed Clinton winning over Bernie by a mile, and then Sanders won Michigan handily.  So I don’t think you can trust polls all the time. You can’t trust models all the time. The only thing you can reasonably say is: This really is a competitive race.”

(h/t RCP Video)

Follow Jeff Poor on Twitter @jeff_poor


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