Former President Donald Trump has experienced an 11-point swing in his direction in the early primary state of New Hampshire following both his indictment and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis jumping into the presidential race, the latest National Research Inc. survey, commissioned by American Greatness survey, found.
This particular survey was taken June 12-14, 2023, after Gov. Ron DeSantis, former Vice President Mike Pence, former New Jersey Gov. Chis Christie, and North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum jumped into the race. It also followed federal prosecutors indicting Trump.
Despite all of that, Trump’s lead has actually increased among likely Granite State Republican primary voters over the last month, jumping from 39 percent support to 44 percent support — a five point increase.
DeSantis fell six points over the last month, from 18 percent to 12 percent. This reflects an 11-point swing in Trump’s direction over the last month.
Overall, Trump’s lead has increased from 21 points in May to 32 points in June. AM Greatness noted that New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu, who was listed in May’s survey, did not take votes away from DeSantis, as some expected.
“When Sununu is taken out of the equation in this month’s survey, DeSantis did not benefit. A majority of Sununu’s vote share went to Scott and Christie,” the report noted.
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The survey found Sen. Tim Scott tying with former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and experiencing a positive boost this month, moving from one percent in May to seven percent in June. Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley also jumped from three percent to five percent support, and Pence went from one percent support to three percent support.
Notably, the number of undecided voters has also increased over the last month, jumping from 15 percent to 18 percent.
The survey was taken June 12-14, 2023, among 500 likely New Hampshire GOP primary voters. It has a +/- 4.38 percent margin of error.
NEW HAMPSHIRE 2024: Trump holds 32-point lead for Republican Nomination
Trump 44% (+5 from May)
DeSantis 12% (-6)
Christie 7% (+7)
Scott 7% (+6)
Haley 5% (+2)
Ramaswamy 3% (-3)
Pence 3% (+2)
Hutchinson 2% (+1)National Res. | 06/12-14 | 500 LV https://t.co/K8rmEVlMeL pic.twitter.com/Nikj8ajAq2
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 15, 2023
Post-indictment national surveys told a similar story, with Trump’s lead only increasing following the indictment, as well as others jumping into the presidential race.
Breitbart News detailed the latest Morning Consult poll earlier this week:
Even with more official challengers joining the race, as well as an indictment, Trump has expanded his lead to 59 percent. That reflects a three-point uptick from the 56 percent he saw last week.
DeSantis, meanwhile, has experienced a three-point drop over the last week, going from 22 percent support last week to 19 percent this week. In other words, Trump has increased his overall lead from 34 percent last week to 40 percent this week.
This is particularly negative for DeSantis, given that he did not experience a significant bump in this particular survey last week, either. While critics say Trump’s lead is still smaller than the 43-point lead he held in mid-May, Morning Consult’s Eli Yokley observed that “much of that dip came before DeSantis officially began his bid,” as Breitbart News noted last week.
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President Donald Trump via Storyful
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