Alphabetical list of the 68 teams on pace for March Madness

Is your college one of the 68 on pace to be invited to March Madness in eight weeks? Seven Big Ten teams are based on their projected RPIs, topping the Big East, Big 12 and Mountain West with six each. Syracuse won the battle of the Big East's two projected No. 1 seeds (pictured).  In this first of two pieces we provide an alphabetical list of the teams on pace to be on the Selection Sunday brackets. A follow-up story will show the top three players on each team to show who has the best path to the Sweet 16.

UCLA, Kentucky and others are very likely to rise through the ranks to get higher seeds by Selection Sunday, but for now basing the selections just on results to date, here are the 68 and where they would be seeded.  For those who want to know more about how these selections are made, we break down these headings in this table below: 

Team W-L SOS RPI Seed Conf Tournament Site
Akron 22-6 146 52 13 MAC Salt Lake City, UT 3/21
Arizona 27-3 18 3 1 P12 San Jose CA 3/21
Baylor 19-10 61 53 13 B12 1st 4 then Kansas City 3/22 (2nd)
Belmont 22-5 88 16 4 OVC Kansas City 3/22
Boise St. 18-10 54 48 12 MWC Kansas City 3/22 (2nd)
Brigham Young 22-8 83 43 11 WCC Lexington KY 3/21 (2nd)
Bryant 22-7 280 102 15 NEC Austin, TX 3/22 (2nd)
Bucknell 24-5 171 41 10 Pat Auburn Hills, MI 3/21 (2nd)
Butler 24-6 71 17 5 A10 Kansas City 3/22
Charleston Southern 15-9 302 177 16 BSth 1st 4 then Lexington KY 3/21
Cincinnati 23-8 14 18 5 BE Salt Lake City, UT 3/21
Colorado 19-11 11 38 10 P12 Austin, TX 3/22 (2nd)
Colorado St. 22-7 38 14 4 MWC Salt Lake City, UT 3/21
Creighton 26-4 119 22 6 MVC San Jose CA 3/21 (2nd)
Davidson 19-9 236 118 16 SC Philadelphia 3/22 (2nd)
Detroit 17-10 114 60 14 Horz Salt Lake City, UT 3/21 (2nd)
Duke 28-3 1 1 1 ACC Philadelphia 3/22
Florida 27-3 41 5 2 SEC Austin, TX 3/22
Florida Gulf Coast 18-11 217 121 16 ASun San Jose CA 3/21
George Mason 19-11 166 114 15 CAA Austin, TX 3/22
Gonzaga 26-4 67 11 3 WCC San Jose CA 3/21 (2nd)
Harvard 18-9 148 80 14 Ivy Auburn Hills, MI 3/21
Illinois 18-13 8 49 12 B10 1st 4 then Salt Lake City, UT 3/21
Indiana 25-6 10 9 3 B10 Auburn Hills, MI 3/21
Iona 19-10 170 90 15 MAAC Dayton, OH 3/22
Iowa St. 22-9 49 36 9 B12 Philadelphia 3/22 (2nd)
Kansas 27-4 24 6 2 B12 Austin, TX 3/22 (2nd)
Kansas St. 22-8 48 31 8 B12 Lexington KY 3/21
Kentucky 22-9 62 45 11 SEC Salt Lake City, UT 3/21 (2nd)
La Salle 19-10 91 55 13 A10 1st 4 then Kansas City 3/22 (2nd)
Louisiana Tech 23-7 185 54 13 WAC Dayton, OH 3/22 (2nd)
Louisville 27-4 3 2 1 BE Lexington KY 3/21
Marquette 20-10 19 28 7 BE Austin, TX 3/22
Memphis 24-7 81 34 9 CUSA Lexington KY 3/21
Miami FL 23-7 4 12 3 ACC Lexington KY 3/21 (2nd)
Michigan 26-4 28 7 2 B10 Dayton, OH 3/22
Michigan St. 21-9 5 19 5 B10 Kansas City 3/22 (2nd)
Middle Tennessee 26-5 130 26 7 SB Dayton, OH 3/22
Minnesota 24-7 2 8 2 B10 Auburn Hills, MI 3/21 (2nd)
Mississippi 26-5 125 32 8 SEC Philadelphia 3/22
Missouri 22-9 42 27 7 SEC Austin, TX 3/22 (2nd)
Nevada Las Vegas 22-8 32 23 6 MWC Lexington KY 3/21 (2nd)
New Mexico 24-7 6 10 3 MWC Salt Lake City, UT 3/21 (2nd)
North Carolina 18-12 12 44 11 ACC San Jose CA 3/21 (2nd)
North Carolina Central 18-9 285 141 16 MEAC 1st 4 then Philadelphia 3/22
North Carolina St. 23-8 35 21 6 ACC Salt Lake City, UT 3/21 (2nd)
North Dakota St. 22-5 208 51 13 Sum Kansas City 3/22
Notre Dame 22-9 53 42 11 BE Auburn Hills, MI 3/21
Ohio St. 21-9 9 20 5 B10 Dayton, OH 3/22 (2nd)
Oklahoma 20-10 15 33 9 B12 Philadelphia 3/22
Oklahoma St. 21-9 22 25 7 B12 Auburn Hills, MI 3/21 (2nd)
Oregon 25-6 110 29 8 P12 Philadelphia 3/22 (2nd)
Pacific 16-12 150 125 16 BW 1st 4 then Lexington KY 3/21
Pittsburgh 24-7 70 37 10 BE Dayton, OH 3/22
San Diego St. 19-9 29 35 9 MWC San Jose CA 3/21
Southern 20-7 338 145 16 SWAC 1st 4 then Philadelphia 3/22
Southern Mississippi 22-7 97 30 8 CUSA San Jose CA 3/21
St. Mary's 22-7 129 47 12 WCC Kansas City 3/22
Stephen F. Austin 21-3 310 62 14 Slnd San Jose CA 3/21 (2nd)
Stony Brook 21-7 245 78 14 AE Lexington KY 3/21 (2nd)
Syracuse 27-4 13 4 1 BE Philadelphia 3/22 (2nd)
Temple 20-10 65 50 12 A10 1st 4 then Salt Lake City, UT 3/21
UCLA 22-9 58 46 12 P12 Dayton, OH 3/22 (2nd)
Virginia Commonwealth 26-5 55 13 4 A10 Dayton, OH 3/22 (2nd)
Weber St. 21-5 291 85 15 BSky Auburn Hills, MI 3/21 (2nd)
Wichita St. 25-5 93 15 4 MVC Kansas City 3/22 (2nd)
Wisconsin 21-10 40 40 10 B10 Austin, TX 3/22
Wyoming 21-7 47 24 6 MWC Auburn Hills, MI 3/21

After being on the backburner throughout the NFL and college football season, college basketball takes center stage for two months outside of one huge event (the Superbowl).  This post walks through who is in and out right now, and the follow-up piece will run through the best three players on each of these 68 teams to determine who has the best path to advance in your brackets.

W-L: We start with the PROJECTED win-loss record based on how the team has played so far, as measured by Forecast RPI.  Akron projects to finish 22-6, while Arizona projects to finish 27-3.

SOS: Next we look at how hard it was to win those games.  Akron played only the 146th toughest Strength of Schedule, while Arizona played the 18th toughest (of 347 Division 1) teams.

RPI:  Those numbers plus how many games were played at home vs. on the road or at neutral sites give a good indication of how high the Ratings Percentage Index will be for each team.  The actual equation is a team’s record, the opponents’ records, and the opponents’ opponents’ records, but the key fact to understand is that when the home team wins a game they are only credited with 0.6 wins and the away team that lost only is blamed for 0.6 losses.  The real changes in RPI occur when a team wins on the road, for which they get 1.4 wins.  So if a team were to go 10-20 playing all road games they would be considered a 14-12 team, whereas if another team were to go 20-10 while playing all home games they would be considered not as good at 12-14.

Seed: In other sports the RPI determines who makes the tournament and what their Seed is (from 1 to 16).  In basketball, the Selection Committee starts with this order and makes adjustments for which teams are hotter, have significant road wins, may have played a portion of the season with a key player injured etc. In theory, the best No. 1 seed starts by playing the worst No. 16 seed (after a play-in game), etc., but teams are not supposed to meet conference foes in the first two rounds.

Based on the projected RPI based on games played through Sunday we had to switch the order for #10 seeds Pittsburgh and Wisconsin, #3 seeds New Mexico and Miami, #5 seeds Michigan State and Cincinnati, as well as switching the playin games so that A10 member Temple did not face the last team in La Salle (also of the A10).

Tournament Site: Every 1-, 2-, 3- and 4-seed basically has a pod of three other teams (or four other teams if there is a play-in game) in one city.  There are eight teams that must first go to a play-in game in Dayton, Ohio on March 19 or 20 and win to get to the city indicated under “tournament site”.  So if you look at the third, fourth and fifth teams listed on the table, Belmont would go to Kansas City as part of one group, while Boise State would also go to Kansas City as part of a completely unrelated “2nd group.”  Baylor would have to play a “1st 4” game in Dayton on March 20 to earn the right to go to Kansas City to join Boise State’s group.
Use this table as a key to find your team in the second piece which is broken down by tournament site.

 


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