Vincent Giandurco

Tea Leaves: The Final Day

The Presidential race is essentially tied, by all metrics. The topline number is even. Internal crosstabs favor Romney demographically. State polls slightly favor Obama. Net outcome? A tie. This makes a prediction nearly impossible. Indeed, as of last night, I was baffled. 6 Nov 2012

The Dems Divorce the Church

For over a hundred years, Catholics have been a core constituency of the Democratic Party, along with urbanites, minorities and unions. This year, for the first time ever, a Democratic Presidential candidate is running directly against the public policy goals and influence of the American Catholic Church. This is neither coincidence nor accident, but an intentional strategy to energize their new base. 14 Oct 2012

Obama's Political Promise Fulfilled, Opponents' Passion Reignited

"if the Court upholds the ACA, Obama's primary political promise of 2008 would be fulfilled. His supporters would be joyous, but also somehow surfeited, their greatest hopes realized. On the other hand, his opponents would be rejuvenated in their passion. They would work tirelessly to repeal the law." 29 Jun 2012

The Obama Vulnerability Cycle

Trend lines in the past few weeks have conservatives feeling upbeat about the fall election. Romney has been disciplined and steadfast, and has amalgamated his base already. Obama meanwhile has been beleaguered with a slowing economy, critiques from his own base, and a series of mismanaged gaffes and unforced errors, from the Kill List leaks to the "private sector" miscue. Polls reflect events, with Romney rising. 23 Jun 2012

Paul Krugman's Nasty Habit

Paul Krugman blames Republicans every time something goes wrong. Last Sunday, he said the Republicans own the current economy, as it reflects their budgetary goals. Let's investigate, maybe we can help him get this monkey off his back. 6 Jun 2012

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