Exclusive–Breitbart/Gravis North Carolina Poll: Clinton, Trump in Statistical Tie


Former first lady Hillary R. Clinton leads her GOP rival Donald J. Trump in North Carolina with 49 percent of respondents compared to his 47 percent, according to the Breitbart/Gravis poll conducted Oct. 25 and Oct. 26 with 1,273 registered voters, a margin inside the poll’s margin of error.

“North Carolina is a true battleground state and its 15 electoral votes make it worth fighting for,” said Doug Kaplan, the managing director of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based polling company that executed the poll. The poll carries a margin of error of 2.8 percent with a 95 percent level of confidence.

Kaplan said North Carolina was the only state, along with Indiana, which Republican W. Mitt Romney won in 2012 and President Barack Obama won in 2008. In the 2o08 contest in North Carolina, Sen. Barack Obama (D.-Ill.) beat Sen. John S. McCain III (R.-Ariz.) with 49.9 percent of the vote to McCain’s 49.5 percent, a margin of 13,692 votes. Libertarian Bob Barr received 25, 419 votes. In 2012, Romney beat Obama with 50 percent of the vote to the president’s 48 percent.

Trump campaigned in North Carolina Oct. 21 and his running mate Indiana Gov. Mike Pence campaigns in North Carolina Halloween Day.

The Clinton campaign announced Saturday that comedian Will Ferrell is slated to campaign for the former secretary of state in the Tar Heel State.

In the Senate race, Republican Sen. Richard Burr trails his Democratic challenger Deborah Ross with 45 percent to her 48 percent, Kaplan said.

Participants in the poll were also asked about issues in the campaign.

Asked: “Do you think the accusations by women of lewd conduct against Donald Trump is damaging to his credibility?” Sixty-two percent of respondents agreed that the accusations were damaging and 28 percent said they were not.

Asked: “Considering the coverage of the major television networks and a majority of the major newspapers, which best describes how they are covering the election?” Forty percent of respondents said the treatment was fair and 51 percent said the media had a bias for Clinton. Only five percent said that the media favored Trump.

Asked: “Do you believe that Syrian refugees arriving in the United States have been subjected to the most rigorous security vetting, as the Obama Administration claims?” Fifty percent of the poll participants said they do not believe the Syrian refugees are properly vetted and 35 percent said they believe the administration claims.

Respondents were also asked if they thought the president’s healthcare reform legislation, known as Obamacare, was a success or not. Fifty-five percent said it was not a success and 36 percent said the program passed in 2010 was a success.

The poll’s sample population was comprised of 35 percent Democrats, 34 percent Independents, and 31 percent Republicans.

The poll was conducted using interactive voice responses with results weighted to match a proprietary turnout model.

NC Oct 27 v2 (1) by Breitbart News on Scribd


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