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Articles by Mike Flynn

Wave: GOP Voters at All-Time High

According to new research released today by Rasmussen, more voters identify themselves as Republican than ever in the last 8 years. More importantly, by a 4 point margin, more voters identify as GOP than Democrat. This is the largest spread

Wave: GOP Voters at All-Time High

Bounce: Romney Gains 6 Points During Convention

At the end of last week, Barack Obama held a 3-point lead over Mitt Romney in Rasmussen’s Daily Tracking poll. Romney, however, is enjoying a modest bounce from the RNC convention and today, has reversed the numbers and now leads

Bounce: Romney Gains 6 Points During Convention

Offense: Romney Touts His Private Sector Success

Even those who only occasionally follow politics understand the the sum total of Barack Obama’s reelection effort is based on attacking Romney. Obama’s massive summer assault on Romney, whose only result has been to keep the race essentially tied, was

Offense: Romney Touts His Private Sector Success

SpinCheck: A Factory and the Media's Ryan Derangement Syndrome

With even Democrats acknowledging that Ryan gave a strong performance last night, the media is in full spin mode attacking the Vice-Presidential candidate. They are hyperventilating that Ryan “lied” in a story about Obama promising to keep open a Janesville,

SpinCheck: A Factory and the Media's Ryan Derangement Syndrome

Poll: Nightly News Skewing Voters' Views of GOP Convention

Since the start of the GOP convention on Tuesday, the legacy media have used every trick in their playbook to distort coverage of the Republican gathering. Sensing correctly that the GOP ticket is gathering momentum ahead of the final sprint

Poll: Nightly News Skewing Voters' Views of GOP Convention

Senate GOP Prepares for Loss in Missouri

There was a time when the GOP’s route to a majority ran through Missouri. Sen. Claire McCaskill is one of the more vulnerable incumbents in the country. Her deciding vote to approve ObamaCare is wildly unpopular in the state, whose

Senate GOP Prepares for Loss in Missouri

CBS Poll: Obama Still Struggling with Independents

Today, as the GOP convention gets underway, CBS News released its latest poll on the presidential race. The survey of registered voters found Obama clinging to a 1-point lead over Romney, 46-45. It’s noteworthy that CBS did not team up

CBS Poll: Obama Still Struggling with Independents

WaPo Poll: Romney Up 1 Ahead of Convention

While the media does its best to spin out political distractions, Romney continues to make steady progress in the polls. Today, ahead of the GOP convention in Tampa, a new poll was released by The Washington Post/ABC. For the first

WaPo Poll: Romney Up 1 Ahead of Convention

To Honor Neil Armstrong, Obama Posts Photo of Himself

The thing that most bothers me about Barack Obama is his unearned narcissism. His smugness and arrogance are beyond the ability of science to measure. I don’t mind someone being a bit cocky or even arrogant, IF they have the

To Honor Neil Armstrong, Obama Posts Photo of Himself

Political D List: Charlie Crist Endorses Obama

There was a time that Charlie Crist was considered a rising star in the Republican party. He had won the governor’s office in Florida in 2006, an otherwise lousy year for the GOP. He was fairly popular with the voters

Political D List: Charlie Crist Endorses Obama

Akin Fallout: Romney Support Drops in Missouri

This morning, Rasmussen released its latest poll of the presidential race in Missouri. The poll of likely voters was conducted Wednesday, after the fallout of Senate candidate Rep. Todd Akin’s gaffe on rape and abortion. The poll found Obama with

Akin Fallout: Romney Support Drops in Missouri

The Divine Providence of Voters: Akin Down 10 Points in Missouri

It was the gaffe heard-round the political world. In an interview with a local St. Louis public affairs show aired Sunday, Senate candidate Rep. Todd Akin gave an absurd and, to many, offensive answer to the question of an abortion

The Divine Providence of Voters: Akin Down 10 Points in Missouri

Cutter: I'm Just Going to Make S%&t Up about Jobs

Stephanie Cutter, deputy campaign manager for Obama’s reelection effort, seems more a character out of fiction than a real person. A high-octane spokesman, she is willing to say anything to win the 30-second sound byte cycle. She will lie, contradict

Cutter: I'm Just Going to Make S%&t Up about Jobs

AP: Obama Up One in D+8 Sample

Do you know what I would like this campaign season? Just one media poll that is merely within the same time zone as reality. When Obama won election in 2008, the electorate was D+7. Democrat turnout that year was historic.

AP: Obama Up One in D+8 Sample

Poll: Romney Edges Obama on Economy

This morning, NBC/Wall Street Journal released their latest poll, showing the presidential race tightening. In this latest poll, Obama leads Romney by 4 points, 48-44. This is down from NBC’s poll last month, which showed Obama with a 6-point edge, 49-43.

Poll: Romney Edges Obama on Economy

Akin Will Withdraw: What Happens Now?

Yesterday, Senate candidate Rep. Todd Akin went on a local public affairs show in St. Louis with, at most, 12 convalescent viewers and gave birth to the mother of all campaign gaffes in 2012. Responding to a question about rape

Akin Will Withdraw: What Happens Now?

Reality Check: Obama Is Not Going to Lose Illinois

Illinois was last competitive for the presidency in 1988, when George H.W. Bush carried the state on his way to a landslide victory against Mike Dukakis. Since then, Democrats have easily carried the state, with usually a 10-point or better

Reality Check: Obama Is Not Going to Lose Illinois

Tax Online Sales at Point of Purchase

Last month, I wrote about a brewing battle on Capitol Hill over on-line purchases and sales taxes. Governors, state officials and retailers are pushing Congress to force on-line retailers to collect state and local sales taxes on e-commerce purchases. An

Tax Online Sales at Point of Purchase

Obama, Axelrod Rewind the Tax Return Distraction

In the Democrat primary in 2008, Barack Obama managed a stunning upset over Hillary Clinton in the Iowa caucuses. Overnight, the narrative changed from the primary being Hillary’s race to lose to how soon does Obama put the race away.

Obama, Axelrod Rewind the Tax Return Distraction

MediScare Fail: Romney Leads in Florida

The media and Democrats gleefully greeted the announcement of Paul Ryan as Mitt Romney’s running mate with dire predictions of doom for the GOP ticket. Ryan’s plan to strengthen Medicare through reform was deemed “too radical” for much of the

MediScare Fail: Romney Leads in Florida

Rasmussen: Romney Moves into the Lead in Wisconsin

While commenters debate the size of any poll “bounce” for Romney after selecting Paul Ryan as his running mate, the trend-lines are certainly clear. Romney has gained ground in every poll released since the Ryan announcement. Today, Rasmussen released its

Rasmussen: Romney Moves into the Lead in Wisconsin

Gallup: 60% of Adults Disapprove of Obama's Handling of Economy

A new Gallup poll finds that only 36% of Americans approve of Obama’s handling of the economy. 60% disapprove. This rating is far lower than the past three two-term presidents at this point in their first term. This single issue

Gallup: 60% of Adults Disapprove of Obama's Handling of Economy

Ohio Senate: Brown, Mandel Tied at 44

Rasmussen reported this morning that the latest poll in the important Senate race in Ohio has both incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown and GOP challenger Josh Mandel tied at 44%. Even though the race is tied, the finding suggests an edge

Ohio Senate: Brown, Mandel Tied at 44

Ryan Pick More Popular Than Biden's Selection

Democrats, the media and “anonymous” GOP sources have been scrambling to tell the public that Romney’s selection of Paul Ryan was a disastrous move by the presidential candidate. I always find it precious when the media gets concerned about possible

Ryan Pick More Popular Than Biden's Selection

Ryan Bounce: Romney Up Two in Gallup Poll

Today, Gallup’s daily tracking poll showed Romney moving into a two-point lead over Obama, 47% to 45%. It was the first time since early June that Romney has led in the tracking poll. The race was tied all last week

Ryan Bounce: Romney Up Two in Gallup Poll

Obama's War on the Middle Class, Part I

The Obama campaign, lacking much else to run on, wants to make this election a referendum on who best can help the “middle class.” To bolster his case, he cites various targeted government benefits and programs he supports which hand

Obama's War on the Middle Class, Part I

74% of Americans Support Voter ID Laws

One of the left’s sillier temper tantrums is the fight against Voter ID laws. The law simply requires that a voter present a photo ID at the polling place, as a means to verify they are who they say they

74% of Americans Support Voter ID Laws

Obama Struggles With 'Marriage Gap'

The left and the media bleat incessantly about the “gender gap” and the GOP’s struggles with women voters. The Democrats are obsessed with the “women’s vote” and believe they have a built-in advantage when appealing to female voters. It leads

Obama Struggles With 'Marriage Gap'

USA Today Produces Meaningless Poll to Attack Ryan

Caught off-guard by Romney’s surprise announcement of his running mate this weekend, the media are scrambling today to cast the selection of Paul Ryan in a negative light. The gold medal for the hackiest attack, though, goes to USA Today

USA Today Produces Meaningless Poll to Attack Ryan

Romney, Ryan Running on American Exceptionalism

There was a time it seemed the sum total of the Romney campaign would be simply a referendum on Obama’s failed record. That will get you far, but in today’s stagnant economy with Americans’ anxiety about the future at all

Romney, Ryan Running on American Exceptionalism

What Began in Wisconsin Will End with Wisconsin

The rise of the tea party and the 2010 elections were about one thing: restraining the growth of the federal government. Voters, still reeling from TARP, saw the stimulus boondoggle, the auto bailouts, and a government take-over of health care

What Began in Wisconsin Will End with Wisconsin

Ryan Pick Shows Romney's Business Skills

Romney made his mark in the business world as a turnaround artist. He would invest in ailing companies and bring in a specialized team to turn the business around. The result, in most cases, was a stronger company with a

Ryan Pick Shows Romney's Business Skills

Game On: Ryan Pick Begins Debate for America

America faces an existential crisis. Governments, at all levels, are burdened by unsustainable spending commitments. Our once mighty economic engine is creaking under the weight of onerous regulation and an antiquated tax system. The biggest unkept secret in Washington is

Game On: Ryan Pick Begins Debate for America

Gallup: CancerGate Ad Flap Hurting Obama

The best way to think about a poll, outside issues of sampling or methodology, is as a snapshot in time. A well-crafted poll can give you a sense of the state of the race–at the time the poll is taken.

Gallup: CancerGate Ad Flap Hurting Obama

Media Polls Are Warping RealClearPolitics Poll Average

Polls are more art than science. Countless variables can shape the composition of any individual poll. To smooth out the noise from individual polls it is best to look at an average of them. RealClearPolitics has the most cited average

Media Polls Are Warping RealClearPolitics Poll Average

CNN Is Just Making Up Poll Numbers Now

Okay, I’m not certain they are literally making up poll results, but the poll CNN and British market research firm ORC International released Thursday afternoon is so screwy and raises so many questions that they might as well be doing

CNN Is Just Making Up Poll Numbers Now

Hundreds of Lawmakers Enjoy Chicago on Taxpayers' Dime

This week, hundreds of state lawmakers are enjoying the sights and sounds of Chicago at the National Conference of State Legislatures’ annual gathering. Over four days, the state legislators from around the country will hear big-name speakers, attend gala, catered

Hundreds of Lawmakers Enjoy Chicago on Taxpayers' Dime

Did New York Times 'Juice' the Quinnipiac Poll?

Quinnipiac University historically has been one of the more reliable pollsters. It’s proved generally accurate, since it uses samples that match realistic assumptions about the electorate. But a funny thing happened when Quinnipiac teamed up with the New York Times

Did New York Times 'Juice' the Quinnipiac Poll?