Poll: Donald Trump Up 1 Point over Hillary Clinton with White Women, 16 Points with Men

Brendan Smialowski, Kena Betancur / AFP / Getty Images

Although likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton holds a slight lead over presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump in a new Quinnipiac University poll match-up, the real estate mogul is up one point over Clinton with white women and continued to score better than her with men of all backgrounds.

In a one-on-one matchup, Trump beats Clinton with white men by 34 percent. With white women, Trump leads Clinton by one point, 41 to 40 percent, inside the margin of error.

ABC News reports Trump has increased his gain over Clinton with white men by 11 points as she’s decreased by 12 points:

In the most recent ABC News-Washington Post poll, released May 22, Trump was leading Clinton among men overall (56 percent to 34 percent), white male college graduates (59 to Clinton’s 33) and white men without college degrees (76 percent to Clinton’s 14 percent).

All three of those demographics showed an increase in preference for Trump since the prior ABC News-Washington Post poll in March. The most dramatic difference came among white male voters without a college degree: in March, Trump had 65 percent of their favor while Clinton had 26 percent. Clinton then dropped 12 points and Trump gained 11 points over the next two months, leading them to the 76-14 split.

Trump leads Clinton with voters without a college degree, especially among white voters with no college degree. But ABC News notes, “That gap tightens dramatically when looking at the entire voting pool of voters without college degrees: Trump only leads by 1 point, with 43 percent to Clinton’s 42 percent.”

White voters who are college educated prefer Trump over Clinton by eight points. However, all voters taken in total — not being race specific — with college degrees prefer Clinton by eight points.

“This is the group that economically and socially have lost the most ground in America over the last 30 or 40 years,” Stanford University political science professor Bruce Cain said to ABC News, explaining why Trump does better with white men.

“There was a time when, by virtue of being a man, you could feel superior to women in the workforce. There was a time when you could make a pretty good living in manufacturing and that’s disappearing. There was a time when you didn’t feel a lot of competition from immigrants … and that’s disappearing,” Cain speculated.


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