Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump (L) and Republican vice presidential candidate Mike Pence take questions from the audience at the The Hotel Roanoke & Conference Center on July 25, 2016 in Roanoke, Virginia. Trump made a point to address the evangelicals during his visit to the bible belt. Trump is …

Nate Silver: Trump Has 57 Percent Chance of Winning If Election Held Today

Nate Silver writes that it is very common for post-convention bounce to mask the reality of a losing campaign. “John McCain and Sarah Palin did so in 2008, for example, and even Walter Mondale led a couple of polls in 1984. But those bounces do not always turn out to be predictive.”

The Polls Were Skewed, All Right–in Favor of Democrats

The Polls Were Skewed, All Right–in Favor of Democrats

As the 2014 midterm election wound to a close, left-wing pundits repeated the error of their conservative rivals in 2012, claiming that the polls forecasting doom were skewed. It turns out that they were right–but in entirely the wrong direction.

Nate Silver Says Wendy Davis' Chance of Victory Only 0.6 Percent

Nate Silver Says Wendy Davis' Chance of Victory Only 0.6 Percent

AUSTIN, Texas — Statistician and journalist Nate Silver has released his forecasts for the 2014 gubernatorial elections around the country, and the results are less than encouraging for Democrat Wendy Davis’ hopes of being elected Texas’ next Governor. On his

GA Dem Michelle Nunn Hasn't Led In 7 of 7 Latest Polls

GA Dem Michelle Nunn Hasn't Led In 7 of 7 Latest Polls

Democrats and the media have been making much of the fact that Democrat Senate candidate Michelle Nunn has a real chance to win Georgia, but the truth is that she has failed to post any kind of lead in 7

Nate Silver: 74 Percent Chance GOP Will Take Senate

Nate Silver: 74 Percent Chance GOP Will Take Senate

On Sunday’s broadcast of ABC’s “This Week,” Nate Silver of Fivethirtyeight.com said statistically, the Republican Party has strong odds for its chances of taking control of the U.S. Senate following next week’s midterm elections. Partial transcript as follows: STEPHANOPOULOS: You

College Board Applauds 'Courageous' Student Protesters in Colorado

College Board Applauds 'Courageous' Student Protesters in Colorado

The College Board, under President David Coleman, the “architect” of the Common Core standards, said in a statement last week that it “supports the actions taken by students in Jefferson County, Colo., to protest a school board member’s request to

Report: Nate Silver's ESPN Website 'a Disaster'

Report: Nate Silver's ESPN Website 'a Disaster'

There apparently is not a huge market for boring numbers geeks and their stats, stats, stats, stats, stats, and data, data, data, data, data.  When ESPN nabbed Nate Silver from the New York Times, political elites and those in the

T Minus 49: GOP Odds of Senate Takeover Downgraded

T Minus 49: GOP Odds of Senate Takeover Downgraded

With just over 7 weeks until the midterm elections, Republican chances to take control of the Senate have tumbled slightly. Two weeks ago, political handicapper Nate Silver estimated the GOP had a 64% chance of winning a Senate majority. On