U.S. Current-Account Deficit Narrowed Sharply in Fourth Quarter
A swing in investment income drove the largest quarterly improvement in two years.

A swing in investment income drove the largest quarterly improvement in two years.

Mainstream macroeconomists argue endlessly about why America runs trade deficits. The answers they give are deeply unsatisfactory because they are so far removed reality.

The establishment case against tariffs got a polished restatement this week. It is worth examining carefully because it gets the problem wrong, gets the causation wrong, and offers wishes in place of solutions.

The Commerce Department said Thursday that the goods and services deficit fell to $54.5 billion in January, down from $128.4 billion in the same month a year ago. That marked a decline of $73.9 billion, or 57.6 percent.

America just experienced the largest quarterly trade deficit decline in recorded history outside of a recession.

The U.S. trade deficit has fallen by nearly half since President Trump’s Liberation Day tariff announcements in March.

The three-month average goods deficit fell to $80.5 billion in the fourth quarter, down 27 percent from $109.6 billion in the same period a year earlier. The combined goods and services deficit dropped even more sharply, falling nearly 40 percent to $50.7 billion from $83.6 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024.

The U.S. trade deficit widened to $56.8 billion in November, up from $29.2 billion in October, as imports of computers and semiconductors surged to support the nation’s ongoing technology investment boom

This is the third straight monthly decline in the trade deficit, suggesting that changes to U.S. tariff policy are driving deep changes in the global economy.

Each year, more of what Americans buy is made abroad, and more of what Americans earn comes from borrowing that replaces the income lost to trade. The system sustains itself not through productivity but through the continual creation of dollar assets.

The U.S. fiscal deficit is the mirror of the trade deficit. Attempts to close one without addressing the other merely shift the imbalance around the balance sheet.

Trump’s critics insisted tariffs would be the spark that lit a global trade war. But the trade war never arrived.

The U.S. trade deficit surged in July to its highest level in four months as American businesses rushed to import goods ahead of expected tariff increases, the Commerce Department said Thursday.

South Korea’s central bank, the Bank of Korea (BOK), estimated on Friday that North Korea’s economy grew by 3.7 percent in 2024, its fastest rate of growth in eight years.

A new working paper asks what would have happened if the country had heeded Pat Buchanan’s warnings about unchecked globalization and adopted his trade policies sooner.

Steep drop in consumer goods imports likely to boost second-quarter GDP.

Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru said on Tuesday he found it “deeply regrettable” that President Donald Trump announced he would impose reciprocal tariffs of 25 percent on exports from Japan.

After the pre-tariff surge in March, imports crashed in April.

When Trump calls for tax cuts to boost American growth, we can debate their fiscal merits; but let’s not pretend they’re a guaranteed path to trade imbalance. The theory behind that claim is old, contested, and, in many cases, simply wrong.

Many economists have successfully challenged the idea that budget deficits lead to higher trade deficits.

Tariff front-running led to a historic surge in imports in March.

On Monday’s broadcast of the Fox Business Network’s “Kudlow,” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent defended using trade deficits to calculate tariffs and stated that the trade deficit is “a result of the terms of trades, it’s a result of our budget

On Monday’s broadcast of the Fox Business Network’s “Kudlow,” host Larry Kudlow said that he doesn’t really think using trade deficits to calculate tariffs is a good idea and that if the Trump administration gets tax cuts and deregulation, it

Taiwanese President William Lai Ching-te proposed zero tariffs, lower trade barriers, and more investment in the United States in response to Trump’s tariffs.

EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on Monday that the bloc has offered a “zero-for-zero tariff” trade arrangement on industrial goods with the United States in a bid to avoid a full-on trade war.

America’s trade deficit with the European Union ballooned to over $215 billion last year as U.S. exports decreased and imports from the bloc increased, a trend that President Donald Trump seeks to reverse.

Rather than reversing the U.S. trade deficit, D.C. policymakers have allowed it to expand while simultaneously increasing the role of government to compensate for the damage it causes.

President Donald Trump signed a memorandum Thursday announcing that he would introduce a plan to impose reciprocal tariffs on all countries that tariff U.S. exports.

A much larger drop than expected after the port strike was put on hold until next year.

Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar said on Sunday that India is not “nervous” about Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

It has been much higher under Biden-Harris.

A growing trade deficit usually means the budget deficit will grow also as government payments are needed to fill the hole in the economy created by unbalanced imports.

President Joe Biden’s State of the Union (SOTU) speech included a brief mention of China, but the language was carefully trimmed to avoid saying anything that might offend Beijing, beyond the most cursory mention of Taiwan.

The trade deficit has been higher in each year of Biden’s presidency than it was under any of his predecessors.

The South Korean Foreign Ministry said Tuesday that high-level diplomats from South Korea and Italy met in Rome to discuss enhanced bilateral cooperation on economic and security issues.

The trade gap with the rest of the world increased to $74.6 billion in April.

Exports of goods for February were $167.8 billion, $6.7 billion less than January exports. Imports of goods for February were $259.5 billion, $6.2 billion less than January imports.

China’s trade deficit with Russia tripled in 2022, a report revealed on Friday, thanks in part to skyrocketing energy prices that made Russia’s discounted oil and gas irresistible to Chinese buyers.

The nation’s trade deficit widened 5.4 percent in October to a four-month high of $78.2 billion, data from the Commerce Department showed Tuesday.

The stronger dollar hurt exports but imports fell by even more.
