RealClearPolitics

Corn Poll Paul SancyaAP

Pollsters Having a Rough Start to 2016 Election

The 2016 race for the Republican nomination has already challenged virtually every bit of political conventional wisdom. It would take an entire series of articles to detail how wildly wrong the pundit and commentariat class have been this campaign. The race has also been challenging for pollsters.

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Democrats Have a Demographic Problem in 2016

A report by Daniel J. McGraw in this weekend’s Politico brings rigorous data analysis–i.e. “quick back-of-the-napkin math”–to bear on the GOP’s demographic “problem”: namely, that Republican voters tend to be old, so more of them are dying. (If you are a Democrat, this is not a problem, as death has historically posed no real impediment to voting.) Yet the real demographic problem in 2016 is not the age of Republican voters: rather, it is the age of the Democratic candidates.